NCAAB

ACC Tournament Prop Bets for Wednesday 3/13/24

Annie Nader
Annie Nader@ANader33
ACC Tournament Prop Bets for Wednesday 3/13/24

College basketball season is in full swing, and via the college basketball odds at FanDuel Sportsbook, we can get into the action by checking out prop bets for key games.

For bettors, numberFire's Matchup Heat Map helps identify favorable game environments, while KenPom and Sports-Reference offer a wide range of team-level statistics. We can also turn to Bart Torvik and RealGM for advanced player stats and splits.

Let's check out FanDuel Sportsbook's college basketball odds and dive into our wealth of statistical data to find today's best prop bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

College Basketball Prop Bets

#12 Notre Dame vs. #5 Wake Forest, 2:30 p.m. ET

Andrew Carr Over 11.5 Points (-125)

After topping Georgia Tech 84-80 in the first round of the ACC Tournament, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish will look to stay alive against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons.

Notre Dame's 37th-ranked adjusted defensive efficiency margin (per Bart Torvik) has been their calling card, but Wake Forest's offense will be tough to keep up with.

The Demon Deacons rank 29th in adjusted offensive efficiency, good for the third-best standing in the ACC (behind Duke and North Carolina). Plus, four of their starters are averaging at least 13.0 points per game.

One of those players is Andrew Carr, a senior forward who scores 13.3 points per contest. He has exceeded 11.5 points in 21 out of his 31 games.

Since Carr is clearing 11.5 points at a 67.7% clip, it seems we are getting a good deal with these -125 odds, which imply just a 55.6% probability.

Carr's team-leading 62.9% true shooting percentage (per KenPom) is the 80th-best among D1 players. His shot volume isn't obnoxious, but he is able to find good looks in the interior.

I think this will hold up well against Notre Dame. The Fighting Irish force opponents to shoot the three-ball at a low clip (32.5%), but Carr doesn't rely on draining three-pointers.

Notre Dame will make it hard on the Wake Forest guards, and in a game that should feature a slow pace, I want to side with the player who will get the best shot looks.

#10 NC State vs. #7 Syracuse, 7:00 p.m. ET

Jayden Taylor Over 12.5 Points (-125)

Despite DJ Horne (team-leading 16.8 points per game) being sidelined for yesterday's game, the NC State Wolfpack still managed to win and cover against Louisville.

This is in part due to Jayden Taylor, who lifted the Wolfpack by scoring 18 points.

Horne is a game-time decision for tonight's contest against the Syracuse Orange, so it seems apt to target another decent scoring performance from Taylor.

On the season, Taylor is averaging 12.5 points. He has scored over 12.5 points in five straight games when he played more than 14 minutes.

As mentioned, Taylor put up 18 points in Horne's absence yesterday, while he scored 28 points this past Saturday after Horne left the game early due to injury.

But even if Horne is good to go tonight, I still think Taylor is set up to succeed on the scoring front.

Syracuse allows opponents to shoot two-point shots at a 53.5% clip. This is good for the 51st-worst percentage allowed in college basketball, as well as the second-worst clip surrendered in the ACC. Taylor and his high shot volume should be granted better-than-normal looks tonight.

This matchup features a 151.5 over/under and a 1.5-point spread, so the scoring environment looks solid.

In NC State games that have ended with a 150.0 game total or higher, Taylor is averaging 16.8 points and exceeded 12.5 points in 10 out of 14 of those games.

#11 Boston College vs. #6 Clemson, 9:30 p.m. ET

Quinten Post Over 15.5 Points (-125)

Boston College's star seven-footer put up 30 points and grabbed 13 rebounds in yesterday's first round victory. Let's hope Quinten Post isn't too gassed for tonight's showdown against the Clemson Tigers because we're getting a pretty nice deal on his points prop.

On the season, Post is averaging 17.0 points per game.

He has eclipsed 15.5 points in 54.8% of his games, but if we account for only contests where he played more than 26 minutes, he is clearing this number at a 68.0% rate (17 out of 25 games). Post averages 31.8 minutes per game, and the tournament nature of this battle should ensure he stays on the court for the long run.

These -125 odds, on the other hand, imply just a 55.6% probability.

Though Clemson is favored by 6.5 points, they should serve as a friendly matchup. The Tigers allow the second-highest three-point rate in the ACC. While Post is not first and foremost a three-point shooter, he does shoot the three-ball at a stunning 44.0% clip and shoot the third-most attempts on BC.

Further, Clemson lets up the fifth-highest free-throw rate in the ACC. Post has the ability to live at the free-throw line and has taken 36 more foul shot attempts than the next-best player on Boston College.

Considering Post's scoring flexibility and the 145.5 over/under set for this matchup, I think the market is undervaluing his scoring potential.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.