3 Daily Fantasy Baseball Stacks for Monday 8/7/23
Stacking is one of the most tried and true strategies in daily fantasy baseball. Targeting the most advantageous matchups and filling your lineup with the right offenses goes a long way toward getting into that top prize pool on FanDuel.
We've got you covered in this piece, examining the top matchups of the main slate and figuring out what stacks are worth going for. Upside is a huge part of that, although we don't want to ignore the math given baseball's variability.
Additionally, numberFire has a few key resources beyond the initial advice in this article: namely, the MLB DFS heat map and numberFire's daily fantasy baseball projections.
Without further ado, let's dive into the top stacks to target for Monday's main slate which kicks off at 7:05 p.m. (EST).
Texas Rangers
Implied Total: 5.31 | Opposing Pitcher: Ken Waldichuk
You'll have to stay up late to check out a potential Texas Rangers stack, but their 9:40 p.m. first pitch shouldn't dissuade you from loading up on Rangers hitters in a friendly matchup with the Oakland Athletics. While Texas may have just the second-highest implied team total of the slate, their soft matchup and potent lineup are a combination I'm all over tonight. The Rangers have dominated this season's series, taking five of the first seven games and averaging 7.71 runs per game against the A's.
Tonight, the Rangers face off with southpaw Ken Waldichuk. A heavy 4-seamer/sweeper user, the lefty has been incredibly hitter-friendly thanks to a 5.02 SIERA and 40.8% hard-hit rate allowed. Opposing lineups have had their way with Waldichuk, who sits in the bottom 4% of the league with a .382 wOBA allowed. He hasn't done himself any favors, issuing walks at an abysmal 13.0% clip.
The Rangers, meanwhile, have shredded lefties all season long. Against southpaws, Texas ranks in the top-five league-wide in wOBA (.358), ISO (.188), and hard contact (36.6%). With seven players projected for double-digit FanDuel points on numberFire, the Rangers have a multitude of options to choose from tonight.
Corey Seager ($4,300), Adolis Garcia ($3,700), Marcus Semien ($3,600) headline Major League Baseball's fourth-highest scoring offense since the All-Star break (5.57 runs per game). When healthy, Seager has been one of the best hitters in baseball and he's destroyed lefties -- ranking 27th among qualified batters with a .409 wOBA. He's been on a video game-like pace since the All-Star break, posting a .512 ISO thanks to six homers and a 50% hard contact rate in 46 plate appearances.
Garcia isn't far beyond Seager, racking up a .390 wOBA himself while driving in 21 of his 89 RBI in that split. Additionally, Garcia has absolutely pummelled sliders -- posting a 16 run value, per Statcast. With Waldichuk's sweeper looking a lot more like a slider this season, Garcia should feast on the southpaw's breaking ball.
Semien may be the one to avoid of Texas' main stars -- his .765 OPS against lefties pales in comparison to his prowess against righties.
Moving down the lineup, Nathaniel Lowe ($3,200), Mitch Garver ($2,900), Ezequiel Duran ($2,900), and Leody Taveras ($2,900) are all projected for double-digit fantasy nights on FanDuel. Lowe has been on fire since the All-Star break, leading the Rangers with a .351 average and 17 RBI over his last 21 games.
Garver and Duran are the ones who really stand out against lefties. With Jonah Heim out, Garver has shined -- batting .298 since the All-Star break and posting a .424 wOBA against left-handed pitchers for the season. Duran has been just as good in a much larger sample size. He ranks 26th among qualified hitters with a .410 wOBA and 20th with a .294 ISO against lefties.
Atlanta Braves
Implied Total: 5.26 | Opposing Pitcher: Osvaldo Bido
Listen, stacking the Rangers and Atlanta Braves isn't rocket science but we're in the game of winning DFS contests and these two well-oiled machines do a heck of a job getting us there.
The Braves have the third-highest implied team total of the night at 5.26 runs. Considering they're averaging 6.0 runs per game since the All-Star break and facing off against a Pittsburgh Pirates team boasting the third-highest ERA over that span, Atlanta is one of the top offenses to target for tonight's slate. That's especially true when you take into account their league-leading .354 wOBA against right-handed pitchers.
Righty Osvaldo Bido toes the rubber for Pittsburgh tonight though, don't expect him to last long. Bido hasn't sniffed the fifth inning since June and is coming off a three-inning start against the Detroit Tigers that saw him give up four runs in just 3.0 innings of work. Bido has some intriguing underlying numbers, but his 4.72 SIERA and measly 19.9% strikeout rate bode well for Atlanta's plethora of dangerous bats.
Chief among those bats, Ronald Acuna ($4,700) and Matt Olson ($4,500) are the two highest-salaried hitters on the slate. While you won't likely be able to fit both into your lineup, starting your stack with either slugger is well worth the cap hit. You can't go wrong with either of the two -- both have posted at least a .429 wOBA against righties for the season. While Olson's .373 ISO in that split really stands out, both have been on fire over the second half of the year -- posting .478 wOBAs since the All-Star break. Acuna's base-stealing could be a factor tonight as well. The Pirates' rookie catcher, Endy Rodriguez, has already allowed two stolen bases (four attempts) in his first 18 games behind the dish.
Austin Riley ($4,000), Ozzie Albies ($3,700), and Sean Murphy ($3,600) are all capable, albeit still high-salaried, options themselves. Murphy's number is hard to swallow given his post-All-Star break struggles (.218 wOBA in 57 plate appearances), as is Albies' considering his lackluster numbers against righties (.324 wOBA). Riley, on the other hand, has been on fire over the last month. Since the All-Star break, the third baseman owns a .444 wOBA and is tied for the team lead with 10 home runs in just 20 games. He's hit righties hard all season long, posting a 41% hard contact percentage in that split.
Filling out the Atlanta stack, Marcell Ozuna ($3,400), Michael Harris II ($3,300), and Orlando Arcia ($2,800) are all projected for double-digit FanDuel points -- with Eddie Rosario ($2,700) not far behind. Harris' salary hasn't yet caught up with his improved play as he's really turned things around following a brutal start to the season. Since the All-Star break, Harris has posted a .423 wOBA.
Ozuna (.319 wOBA) and Rosario (.246 wOBA) have struggled since the halfway point, but Arcia has quietly swung one of the hottest bats in Atlanta. Between his strong numbers against righties, the fact that he's posted the fifth-highest wOBA (.404) on the team since the break, and considering his low salary, Arcia is a strong option to fill out any Braves stack.
Milwaukee Brewers
Implied Total: 5.07 | Opposing Pitcher: Peter Lambert
The Milwaukee Brewers may not boast the most fearsome lineup in the league, but they have a soft matchup with the Colorado Rockies tonight and feature just one batter with a salary greater than $3,300 -- making them one of the sneakiest stacks of the slate.
Milwaukee takes on Rockies' starter Peter Lambert and his 4.44 SIERA tonight. The righty had actually been pitching well until his most recent start when the Padres nailed him for four runs in just 4.1 innings of work. However, he's made it through the fifth inning just twice this year so expect to see a good amount of Colorado's bullpen -- especially if the Brewers put up some runs early. That only adds to Milwaukee's intrigue tonight considering the Rockies' relievers have the third-highest SIERA (4.44) and allow the fourth-highest hard-hit rate (40.4%) in the league.
Christian Yelich ($3,600) is the foundation underneath any Brewers stack. The former MVP is in the midst of a resurgent season at the dish, averaging 12.6 FanDuel points per game thanks to a .287 average, 16 home runs, and 63 RBI. Yelich has thrived against righties, posting a .394 wOBA. He's really turned things on since the All-Star break as well, batting .308 and recording a strong .253 ISO over his last 22 games.
Sam Frelick ($3,300), William Contreras ($3,100), Carlos Santana ($3,100), and Willy Adames ($3,000) are the only other Brewers salaried at $3,000 or more. Contreras carries the highest projection of the bunch at 12.0 FanDuel points -- thanks largely to his play over the last month. Since the All-Star break, Contreras owns a .365 wOBA though some of that can be attributed to a sky-high .375 batting average on balls in play (BABIP).
Frelick's numbers come via a small sample size, but he's been excellent since his July 22nd promotion. One of baseball's top prospects, Frelick has posted a .366 wOBA and driven in 11 runs in his first 15 games. He's averaged 11.5 FanDuel points per game over that stretch -- already dropping four games of at least 19 points. As for Adames and Santana, both have struggled in recent weeks with neither posting a wOBA greater than .260 since the All-Star break.
Rounding out their lineup, the Brewers feature a number of low-salary flyers that could pay dividends for your DFS roster. Joey Wiemer ($2,700), Mark Canha ($2,600), and Brice Turang ($2,600) all carry modest projections at a salary that could fit into any lineup. Turang has quietly impressed since the All-Star break, posting a .346 wOBA while scoring nine runs across his last 22 games. Canha hasn't made his mark on Milwaukee since coming over from the Mets at the deadline, but he had put together a solid year in New York with a .312 wOBA and a 38.8% hard-hit rate.
The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.