3 College Basketball Prop Bets for Wednesday 3/6/24

Riley Thomas
Riley Thomas_riley8
3 College Basketball Prop Bets for Wednesday 3/6/24

College basketball season is in full swing, and via the college basketball odds at FanDuel Sportsbook, we can get into the action by checking out prop bets for key games.

For bettors, numberFire's Matchup Heat Map helps identify favorable game environments, while KenPom and Sports-Reference offer a wide range of team-level statistics. We can also turn to Bart Torvik and RealGM for advanced player stats and splits.

Let's check out FanDuel Sportsbook's college basketball odds and dive into our wealth of statistical data to find today's best prop bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

College Basketball Prop Bets

No. 4 Tennessee Volunteers at No. 17 South Carolina Gamecocks

Dalton Knecht Under 19.5 Points (+126)

After tying his career-high with 39 points on February 28th, Tennessee's Dalton Knecht comes off an underwhelming performance with only 13 points. Wednesday's opponent -- South Carolina -- has a mediocre defense, ranking 41st in efficiency. However, the unit could excel in the ideal areas to slow the Volunteers' leading scorer.

First off, the Gamecocks are stingy when it comes to limiting the three-ball, holding opponents to only 17.6 three-point shots per game (96th percentile). Knecht leads Tennessee with 164 three-point attempts on the season.

Additionally, some of South Carolina's top defenders reside at the forward spots. This includes Zachary Davis (2.42) and Collin Murray-Boyles (2.20), who are the only players on the team with ratings eclipsing 2.00 in EvanMiya's Defensive Bayesian Performance Ratings (DBPR) metric. This also checks out at Bart Torvik as Davis (2.2) and Murray-Boyles (3.7) have the highest defensive box score plus-minus (DBPM) on the team.

Knecht's production has been feast of famine over his last five games. He failed to reach 18 points in three of the last five contests but averaged 31.5 PPG in his other two outings. I believe Knecht is poised for another famine due to USC's ability to guard the three paired with solid defensive forwards.

No. 2 Connecticut Huskies at No. 8 Marquette Golden Eagles

Stevie Mitchell Over 10.5 Points (+100)

Wednesday features a must-see matchup between two of KenPom's top 14 teams as Marquette plays host to Connecticut. The Golden Eagles are 14-1 at home and are averaging 92.5 points per game (PPG) over their previous four home contests. The Huskies will be a stiff challenge, for they tout the 15th-best adjusted defensive efficiency. How can Marquette scorch the nets once again?

UConn has a tendency of allowing two-point shots in bulk, giving up 37.6 shots per game (bottom 38%). One of the nation's best rim protectors -- Donovan Clingan -- mans the paint with his 3.99 DBPR. Still, selecting one of the Eagles' top two-point scorers could bode success.

Look no further than Stevie Mitchell (8.5 PPG). The junior guard has reached 11 points in three of his last four games and is averaging 13.5 PPG over the past two contests. Mitchell ranks second on Marquette with 55.3% of his shots taking place at the rim.

As previously mentioned, Clingan's rim protection is certainly a concern, but Mitchell should draw favorable matchups against some of the Huskies' weakest defenders: Tristen Newton and Cam Spencer. Newton has a 1.76 DBPR and Spencer touts a 1.64 DBPR.

With his slashing ability, Mitchell could get plenty of two-point looks, and UConn's defensive weakness lies in the backcourt, meaning Mitchell could be poised for a solid scoring game.

No. 20 BYU Cougars at No. 6 Iowa State Cyclones

Jaxson Robinson To Make 3+ Threes (+122)

Few teams shoot the three like BYU; the Cougars attempt the second-most threes per game in the nation and 50.4% of their field goals take place from beyond the arc (99th percentile). Iowa State's defense strikes fear into most teams, touting the second-best adjusted defensive efficiency. However, this could be a favorable matchup for BYU.

The Cougars need little encouragement to let it fly from three, and the Cyclones rank in the bottom 32% in three-point shots allowed per game compared to giving up the fewest two-point looks. ISU's strategy has been clear: pack the painted area.

BYU's leading scorer Jaxson Robinson (13.9 PPG) could thrive from deep as he has the most three-point attempts on the team. Iowa State has few weaknesses on defense, but Tre King (2.7) and Milan Momcilovic (2.1) carry the weakest DBPMs by a landslide among the starting lineup. How does this impact Robinson? The 6-foot-7 wing has a good chance of going up against King and/or Momcilovic.

Considering his matchup and ability to shoot the three, I like Robinson to reach three made three-pointers. This isn't some unrealistic goal either; Robinson has totaled at least three made shots from deep in three of the last six games.

If you’re betting on college basketball action happening March 6th, you can take advantage of FanDuel Sportsbook’s Boost Builder. See the promotions page for more information.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.