Yankees vs Orioles Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 12

Odds updated as of 6:11 p.m.

The MLB slate on Tuesday includes the New York Yankees taking on the Baltimore Orioles.

Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's what you need to know.

Yankees vs Orioles Game Info

• New York Yankees (26-16) vs. Baltimore Orioles (19-23)
• Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
• Time: 6:35 p.m. ET
• Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards -- Baltimore, Maryland
• Coverage: MASN and YES

Yankees vs Orioles Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYY: (-142) | BAL: (+120)
• Spread: NYY: -1.5 (+112) | BAL: +1.5 (-134)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

Yankees vs Orioles Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Will Warren (Yankees) - 4-1, 3.46 ERA vs Trevor Rogers (Orioles) - 2-3, 4.75 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Yankees will send Will Warren (4-1) to the mound, while Trevor Rogers (2-3) will get the nod for the Orioles. Warren's team is 5-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Warren's team has won 75% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-2). The Orioles have a 2-4-0 record against the spread in Rogers' starts. The Orioles were named the moneyline underdog for one Rogers start this season -- they lost.

Yankees vs Orioles Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Yankees win (58.6%)

Yankees vs Orioles Moneyline

• Baltimore is a +120 underdog on the moneyline, while New York is a -142 favorite on the road.

Yankees vs Orioles Spread

• The Yankees are at the Orioles and are favored by 1.5 runs on the spread. The Yankees are +112 to cover the runline, with the Orioles being -134.

Yankees vs Orioles Over/Under

• A total of 8.5 runs has been set for the Yankees-Orioles game on May 12, with the over available at -115 and the under at -105.

Bet on New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles on FanDuel today!

Yankees vs Orioles Betting Trends

• The Yankees have won in 23, or 62.2%, of the 37 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• New York has a record of 16-8 in contests when sportsbooks favor them by -142 or more on the moneyline.
• Contests with the Yankees have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 17 of 40 chances this season.
• In 40 games with a line this season, the Yankees have a mark of 22-18-0 against the spread.
• The Orioles have been the moneyline underdog 18 total times this season. They've finished 6-12 in those games.
• Baltimore has a 2-4 record (winning only 33.3% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +120 or longer.
• The Orioles have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 26 times this season for a 26-16-0 record against the over/under.
• The Orioles have a 19-23-0 record ATS this season (covering 45.2% of the time).

Yankees Player Leaders

• Aaron Judge is hitting .267 with seven doubles, 16 home runs and 32 walks. He has an on-base percentage of .402 and a slugging percentage of .633.
• He is 63rd in batting average, 10th in on-base percentage, and fourth in slugging among all qualified batters in baseball.
• Judge has hit safely in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .222 with a double, a home run, four walks and two RBIs.
• Cody Bellinger has hit five homers this season while driving in 28 runs. He's batting .288 this season and slugging .500 with an on-base percentage of .395.
• His batting average is 33rd among qualified players, his on-base percentage 11th, and his slugging percentage 32nd.
• Ben Rice leads his team in OBP (.417) and total hits (39) this season.
• Trent Grisham has been key for New York with 23 hits, an OBP of .302 plus a slugging percentage of .348.

Orioles Player Leaders

• Taylor Ward has accumulated a .422 on-base percentage and a .368 slugging percentage, both team-high marks for the Orioles. He's batting .257.
• Including all the qualifying hitters in MLB, he ranks 75th in batting average, first in on-base percentage and 124th in slugging percentage.
• Pete Alonso has racked up 33 hits to pace his team. He has a batting average of .210 while slugging .427 with an on-base percentage of .307.
• He is currently 145th in batting average, 127th in on-base percentage and 63rd in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters.
• Adley Rutschman is hitting .302 with nine doubles, five home runs and seven walks.
• Gunnar Henderson has seven doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 13 walks while batting .206.

Yankees vs Orioles Head to Head

• 5/11/2026: 3-2 BAL (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -152, Underdog Moneyline: +128)
• 5/4/2026: 12-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -215, Underdog Moneyline: +180)
• 5/3/2026: 11-3 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -295, Underdog Moneyline: +240)
• 5/2/2026: 9-4 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)
• 5/1/2026: 7-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -184, Underdog Moneyline: +154)
• 9/28/2025: 3-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -174, Underdog Moneyline: +146)
• 9/27/2025: 6-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -240, Underdog Moneyline: +198)
• 9/26/2025: 8-4 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 9/21/2025: 7-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 9/20/2025: 6-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -196, Underdog Moneyline: +164)

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