WNBA Betting Picks and Player Props to Target for Sunday 6/2/24

Austin Swaim
Austin SwaimASwaim3
WNBA Betting Picks and Player Props to Target for Sunday 6/2/24

The WNBA is back, and fans and bettors alike can get into the action on FanDuel Sportsbook.

The W's 40-game season offers a wide variety of betting options, including point spreads, moneylines, and totals. While there's a lot to sift through, advanced stats from the WNBA can help us find an edge in the betting market.

Let's dive into the WNBA odds on FanDuel Sportsbook and find today's best bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

WNBA Best Bets

Connecticut Sun at Atlanta Dream

Rhyne Howard Under 2.5 Threes (-128)

This is a sketchy line when the Connecticut Sun, one of the best teams in the league, are just 2.5-point road favorites over the middle-of-the-pack Atlanta Dream. DRatings (2.0) and Massey Ratings (2.4) concur this spread should be tight.

In lieu of a side, this prop stood out for one of my favorites in the entire W. I love Rhyne Howard, but the three-ball just isn't dropping right now. She's missed her last 10 tries, and the volume (four shots on Friday) is shrinking quickly as a result.

This isn't likely the matchup where it'll turn around. Connecticut have allowed the second-fewest attempts from deep per game (20.4) with the league's second-best defensive rating (92.8).

Howard has posted three or fewer triples in five of six games this year. If she gets to this mark, it's usually by a nose. Entering a difficult matchup, there's a reason Rotowire expects just 1.7 triples from the former top pick on Sunday.

Los Angeles Sparks at Phoenix Mercury

Both Teams Score 80+ Points (+125)
Dearica Hamby Over 18.5 Points (-128)

The math isn't quite mathing on this alternate way to approach an "over" in Phoenix.

There's a 164.5-point total, and the Los Angeles Sparks (80.5) and Phoenix Mercury (84.5) have a team total higher than 80. I'll defacto parlay them both over 79.5 points for +125 when DRatings and Massey combine for marks above 80 points for both Los Angeles (80.2) and Phoenix (81.7). The sites disagree who should be favored, so we're likely in for a competitive ballgame.

This is a good environment for points, too. These teams are both bottom five in defensive rating and top-six clubs in pace. Jackpot.

With that environment in tow, I'm expecting a big night from L.A.'s Dearica Hamby. Hamby's usage rate (25.0%) towers over the Sparks' next-closest starter (19.2%), and she's posted at least 17 points in every game this season. Phoenix's poor defense can likely make up the bucket she'll need to clear 19.

Rotowire projects Hamby well over this mark (22.5 points); it's my favorite prop of the day when the 6'3" forward can feast on putbacks facing a Mercury defense surrendering the fourth-most second-chance points in the WNBA (13.0 per game).

Dallas Wings at Minnesota Lynx

Wings +6 (-110)
Teaira McCowan Over 8.5 Rebounds (+102)

On Friday, the Dallas Wings lost a heartbreaker in Connecticut. The Minnesota Lynx pummeled Phoenix to win by 24 points at home. I'll take the points with Dallas to bounce back.

Connecticut's net rating (+11.7) is better than Minnesota's (+10.2), and a Wings squad getting healthy at the right time kept that one within a basket. I also think Minnesota, posting a 57.6% true-shooting rate (TS%) in their last three games, should pull back to Earth from deep soon. They were fourth-worst in that category (53.5 TS%) a year ago.

DRatings (0.6 points) and Massey (1.7 points) have this spread much shorter than six. It's hard not to take two baskets with surging MVP candidate Arike Ogunbowale on a heater.

Yet, the best way for Dallas to win this game might be inside, so Teaira McCowan's rebounding prop stood out.

Minnesota has the fourth-worst rebounding rate in the league (47.8%), and McCowan is one of the WNBA's best. She's fourth among qualifying starters in rebounds per 36 minutes (11.7) and has pulled down double-digit boards twice this season. Her playing time also seems to correlate to performance, so a monster game on the glass will help find the minutes needed for a third 10-plus effort.

Rotowire expects 10.2 rebounds in 27.0 minutes from Teaira on Sunday, so if she can push toward the 30-minute mark, her statline could be one that would make Andre Drummond proud against the soft Lynx interior.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.