Warriors vs. Timberwolves Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 12

Warriors vs. Timberwolves Game Info

• Date: Monday, May 12, 2025
• Time: 10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Chase Center -- San Francisco, California
• Coverage: ESPN

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 4.5-point favorites heading into Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center on Monday, starting at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Timberwolves hold a 2-1 series lead. The over/under is set at 200.5 for the matchup.

Warriors vs. Timberwolves Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Warriors vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction:

Warriors vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

• The Timberwolves have compiled a 39-42-1 record against the spread this season.
• The Warriors have played 82 games, with 41 wins against the spread.
• Games involving the Timberwolves have hit the over 45 times this season.
• Warriors games this year have hit the over on 41 of 82 set point totals (50%).
• At home, Minnesota has a worse record against the spread (17-23-1) compared to its ATS record on the road (22-19-0).
• The Timberwolves have eclipsed the total in 25 of 41 home games (61%), compared to 20 of 41 road games (48.8%).
• This year, Golden State is 18-22-1 at home against the spread (.439 winning percentage). Away, it is 23-16-2 ATS (.561).
• In terms of the over/under, Warriors games have finished over 20 of 41 times at home (48.8%), and 21 of 41 away (51.2%).

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards' numbers on the season are 27.6 points, 5.7 boards and 4.5 assists per contest, shooting 44.7% from the field and 39.5% from beyond the arc, with an average of 4.1 made treys (second in NBA).
• Julius Randle averages 18.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.7 assists, shooting 48.5% from the field and 34.4% from beyond the arc, with 1.6 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Rudy Gobert is averaging 12 points, 1.8 assists and 10.9 boards.
• Naz Reid's numbers on the season are 14.2 points, 6 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest, shooting 46.2% from the field and 37.9% from downtown, with an average of 2.2 made 3-pointers.
• Jaden McDaniels is averaging 12.2 points, 2 assists and 5.7 boards.

Warriors Leaders

• Jimmy Butler averages 17.5 points for the Warriors, plus 5.4 rebounds and 5.4 assists.
• Draymond Green's numbers on the season are 9 points, 6.1 boards and 5.6 assists per game. He is draining 42.4% of his shots from the floor and 32.5% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.2 treys.
• Brandin Podziemski's numbers on the season are 11.7 points, 5.1 boards and 3.4 assists per contest. He is making 44.5% of his shots from the field and 37.2% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.8 treys.
• Per game, Buddy Hield provides the Warriors 11.1 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.6 assists, plus 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• The Warriors are getting 9.8 points, 2.6 boards and 1.3 assists per game from Moses Moody.

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