Utah State vs San Diego State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MWC Tournament Championship

The MWC champion will be named on Saturday when the No. 1 seed Utah State Aggies (27-6, 15-5 MWC) and the No. 2 San Diego State Aztecs (22-10, 14-6 MWC) play at 6 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Utah State vs. San Diego State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 14, 2026
• Game time: 6 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS
• Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
• Arena: Thomas & Mack Center

Utah State vs. San Diego State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Utah State win (62.4%)

To help you make an informed wager on Utah State-San Diego State matchup (in which Utah State is a 2.5-point favorite and the total is set at 145.5 points), here are a few betting insights and trends for Saturday's game.

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Utah State vs. San Diego State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Utah State has compiled a 13-19-0 record against the spread this season.
• San Diego State has won 14 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 17 times.
• As a 2.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, San Diego State is 2-2 against the spread compared to the 12-17 ATS record Utah State puts up as a 2.5-point favorite.
• Against the spread, the Aggies have fared better when playing at home, covering five times in 14 home games, and four times in 12 road games.
• The Aztecs' winning percentage against the spread at home is .400 (6-9-0). On the road, it is .600 (6-4-0).
• Utah State is 8-14-0 against the spread in conference play this season.
• San Diego State is 11-11-0 against the spread in MWC action this year.

Utah State vs. San Diego State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Utah State has been the moneyline favorite in 29 games this season and has come away with the win 25 times (86.2%) in those contests.
• This season, the Aggies have come away with a win 25 times in 29 chances when named as a favorite of at least -137 or shorter on the moneyline.
• San Diego State has put together a 1-6 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 14.3% of those games).
• In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer, the Aztecs have a record of 1-3 (25%).
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Utah State has a 57.8% chance of pulling out a win.

Utah State vs. San Diego State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Utah State has a +403 scoring differential, topping opponents by 12.2 points per game. It is putting up 82.8 points per game to rank 39th in college basketball and is giving up 70.6 per outing to rank 90th in college basketball.
• Michael Collins Jr. leads Utah State, scoring 17.5 points per game (124th in college basketball).
• San Diego State outscores opponents by 7.8 points per game (posting 78.7 points per game, 107th in college basketball, and conceding 70.9 per outing, 99th in college basketball) and has a +249 scoring differential.
• Reese Dixon-Waters is ranked 576th in the nation with a team-leading 12.8 points per game.
• The Aggies prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 1.7 boards. They are recording 30.7 rebounds per game (252nd in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 29 per contest.
• Mason Falslev averages 5.8 rebounds per game (ranking 328th in college basketball) to lead the Aggies.
• The Aztecs prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 1.9 boards. They are pulling down 32.7 rebounds per game (130th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 30.8.
• Miles Byrd averages 4.7 rebounds per game (728th in college basketball) to lead the Aztecs.
• Utah State averages 106.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (20th in college basketball), and gives up 91.1 points per 100 possessions (74th in college basketball).
• The Aztecs average 99.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (131st in college basketball), and allow 89.6 points per 100 possessions (48th in college basketball).

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