Timberwolves vs. Thunder Western Finals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 26

Timberwolves vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Monday, May 26, 2025
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Target Center -- Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Coverage: ESPN and ESPN2

The Oklahoma City Thunder are slight 3-point favorites for Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Target Center on Monday, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN and ESPN2. The Thunder hold a 2-1 lead in the series. The matchup has an over/under of 219 points.

Timberwolves vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Timberwolves vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (53.4%)

Timberwolves vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder have covered the spread in a matchup 54 times this season (54-26-2).
• The Timberwolves have played 82 games, with 39 wins against the spread.
• This season, Thunder games have hit the over 44 times.
• The Timberwolves have eclipsed the over/under 54.9% of the time this year (45 of 82 games with a set point total).
• When playing at home, Oklahoma City owns a better record against the spread (29-12-1) compared to its ATS record in road games (25-14-1).
• In home games, the Thunder go over the over/under 59.5% of the time (25 of 42 games). They've hit the over in 47.5% of away games (19 of 40 contests).
• Minnesota has performed better against the spread away (22-19-0) than at home (17-23-1) this season.
• In terms of the over/under, Timberwolves games have gone over more often at home (25 of 41, 61%) than on the road (20 of 41, 48.8%).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.7 points, 5 boards and 6.4 assists, shooting 51.9% from the floor and 37.5% from beyond the arc, with 2.1 made 3-pointers per game.
• Jalen Williams averages 21.6 points, 5.3 boards and 5.1 assists, shooting 48.4% from the field and 36.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Isaiah Hartenstein averages 11.2 points, 10.7 rebounds and 3.8 assists, shooting 58.1% from the floor.
• Aaron Wiggins is averaging 12 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists.
• Luguentz Dort is averaging 10.1 points, 1.6 assists and 4.1 boards.

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards averages 27.6 points for the Timberwolves, plus 5.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists.
• Per game, Julius Randle provides the Timberwolves 18.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.7 assists. He also averages 0.7 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• The Timberwolves are getting 12 points, 10.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game from Rudy Gobert.
• Naz Reid's numbers on the season are 14.2 points, 6 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest. He is making 46.2% of his shots from the field and 37.9% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.2 treys.
• Jaden McDaniels averages 12.2 points, 5.7 boards and 2 assists. He is sinking 47.7% of his shots from the field and 33% from 3-point range, with 1.2 treys per game.

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