Thunder vs. Timberwolves Western Finals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 28

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, May 28, 2025
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: ESPN

The Oklahoma City Thunder bring a 3-1 lead into a decisive Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals. The Thunder are favored by 8.5 points in the matchup, which airs on ESPN at 8:30 p.m. ET. The over/under in the matchup is set at 220.5.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (70.8%)

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

• The Thunder are 54-26-2 against the spread this season.
• The Timberwolves have played 82 games, with 39 wins against the spread.
• Thunder games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 44 times this season.
• Timberwolves games this season have gone over the total in 45 of 82 opportunities (54.9%).
• Oklahoma City has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered 29 times in 42 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered 25 times in 40 opportunities on the road.
• The Thunder have exceeded the total in a higher percentage of home games (59.5%) than away games (47.5%).
• Minnesota has been better against the spread away (22-19-0) than at home (17-23-1) this year.
• Looking at the over/under, Timberwolves games have gone over 25 of 41 times at home (61%), and 20 of 41 on the road (48.8%).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.7 points, 5 rebounds and 6.4 assists.
• Jalen Williams averages 21.6 points, 5.3 boards and 5.1 assists.
• Isaiah Hartenstein averages 11.2 points, 10.7 rebounds and 3.8 assists, shooting 58.1% from the floor.
• Aaron Wiggins is averaging 12 points, 1.8 assists and 3.9 rebounds.
• Luguentz Dort averages 10.1 points, 4.1 boards and 1.6 assists, shooting 43.5% from the floor and 41.2% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 made 3-pointers per contest.

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards averages 27.6 points for the Timberwolves, plus 5.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists.
• Julius Randle averages 18.7 points, 7.1 boards and 4.7 assists. He is also making 48.5% of his shots from the field and 34.4% from beyond the arc, with 1.6 treys per game.
• The Timberwolves receive 12 points per game from Rudy Gobert, plus 10.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists.
• The Timberwolves receive 14.2 points per game from Naz Reid, plus 6 rebounds and 2.3 assists.
• The Timberwolves are getting 12.2 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2 assists per game from Jaden McDaniels.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Watch FanDuel TV's NBA show "Run It Back" with Lou Williams, Michelle Beadle, and Chandler Parsons Monday-Thursday at 10am ET on FanDuel TV, the Run It Back YouTube page, or download the podcast here: fanduel.com/podcasts.