Thunder vs. Timberwolves Western Finals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 28

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, May 28, 2025
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: ESPN

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 8.5-point underdogs in a decisive Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center on Wednesday, tipping off at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Thunder are on top 3-1 in the series. The matchup has an over/under of 220.5.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (70.8%)

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

• The Thunder are 54-26-2 against the spread this season.
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 39-42-1 this season.
• This season, 44 of the Thunder's games have gone over the point total.
• Timberwolves games this year have gone over the total in 45 of 82 opportunities (54.9%).
• Oklahoma City has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered 29 times in 42 opportunities at home, and it has covered 25 times in 40 opportunities in road games.
• The Thunder have eclipsed the total in a higher percentage of home games (59.5%) than road games (47.5%).
• Minnesota has been better against the spread away (22-19-0) than at home (17-23-1) this year.
• In 2024-25, a higher percentage of the Timberwolves' games have finished above the over/under at home (61%, 25 of 41) compared to on the road (48.8%, 20 of 41).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.7 points, 6.4 assists and 5 rebounds.
• Jalen Williams' numbers on the season are 21.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists per contest, shooting 48.4% from the floor and 36.5% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.8 made 3-pointers.
• Isaiah Hartenstein's numbers on the season are 11.2 points, 10.7 rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest, shooting 58.1% from the floor.
• Aaron Wiggins is averaging 12 points, 3.9 boards and 1.8 assists.
• Luguentz Dort is averaging 10.1 points, 4.1 boards and 1.6 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

Timberwolves Leaders

• Per game, Anthony Edwards provides the Timberwolves 27.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.6 blocks.
• Per game, Julius Randle gets the Timberwolves 18.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.7 assists. He also averages 0.7 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Per game, Rudy Gobert gets the Timberwolves 12 points, 10.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists, plus 0.8 steals and 1.4 blocks (eighth in league).
• The Timberwolves get 14.2 points per game from Naz Reid, plus 6 rebounds and 2.3 assists.
• The Timberwolves get 12.2 points per game from Jaden McDaniels, plus 5.7 boards and 2 assists.

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