Saint Louis vs Dayton College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for A-10 Tournament

The No. 4 seed Dayton Flyers (22-10, 12-6 A-10) will square off in the A-10 tournament against the No. 1 seed Saint Louis Billikens (28-4, 15-3 A-10) on Saturday at PPG Paints Arena, starting at 1 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Saint Louis vs. Dayton Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 14, 2026
• Game time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS Sports Network
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Arena: PPG Paints Arena

Saint Louis vs. Dayton Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Saint Louis win (74%)

Saint Louis is a 5.5-point favorite over Dayton on Saturday and the total is set at 148.5 points. Here's a few betting trends and insights if you are planning on making a wager on the matchup.

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Saint Louis vs. Dayton: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Saint Louis is 17-14-0 ATS this season.
• Dayton is 14-18-0 ATS this season.
• Saint Louis covers the spread when it is a 5.5-point favorite or more 59.3% of the time. That's more often than Dayton covers as an underdog of 5.5 or more (33.3%).
• The Billikens have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered 13 times in 18 opportunities at home, and they've covered four times in 10 opportunities in away games.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Flyers have a better winning percentage at home (.471, 8-9-0 record) than away (.364, 4-7-0).
• Saint Louis' record against the spread in conference action is 10-9-0.
• Dayton has eight wins against the spread in 19 A-10 games this year.

Saint Louis vs. Dayton: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Saint Louis has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 29 games this year and has walked away with the win 25 times (86.2%) in those games.
• This season, the Billikens have come away with a win 24 times in 26 chances when named as a favorite of at least -240 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Dayton has been the underdog on the moneyline nine total times this season. Dayton has finished 4-5 in those games.
• The Flyers have gone 1-5 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +195 or longer (16.7%).
• Saint Louis has an implied victory probability of 70.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Saint Louis vs. Dayton Head-to-Head Comparison

• Saint Louis has a +586 scoring differential, topping opponents by 18.3 points per game. It is putting up 87.8 points per game to rank 10th in college basketball and is giving up 69.5 per outing to rank 61st in college basketball.
• Saint Louis' leading scorer, Robbie Avila, ranks 564th in the country putting up 12.9 points per game.
• Dayton has a +159 scoring differential, topping opponents by five points per game. It is putting up 74.9 points per game, 205th in college basketball, and is giving up 69.9 per outing to rank 70th in college basketball.
• Dayton's leading scorer, Javon Bennett, ranks 201st in the country, scoring 16.3 points per game.
• The Billikens pull down 36.8 rebounds per game (18th in college basketball) while allowing 29.4 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 7.4 boards per game.
• Dion Brown is 392nd in college basketball play with 5.6 rebounds per game to lead the Billikens.
• The 30.2 rebounds per game the Flyers accumulate rank 275th in the country. Their opponents grab 30.9.
• Amael L'Etang leads the Flyers with six rebounds per game (288th in college basketball).
• Saint Louis' 109 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 10th in college basketball, and the 86.3 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 17th in college basketball.
• The Flyers' 98.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 160th in college basketball, and the 91.9 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 92nd in college basketball.

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