Red Sox vs Mets Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 12

Odds updated as of 12:13 p.m.

MLB action on Sunday includes the Boston Red Sox taking on the New York Mets.

Here's what you need to know before checking out today's MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Red Sox vs Mets Game Info

• Boston Red Sox (45-48) vs. New York Mets (40-56)
• Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026
• Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: Citi Field -- Queens, New York
• Coverage: WPIX and NESN

Red Sox vs Mets Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: BOS: (-110) | NYM: (-106)
• Spread: BOS: -1.5 (+150) | NYM: +1.5 (-182)
• Total: 8 -- Over: (-114) | Under: (-106)

Red Sox vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Payton Tolle (Red Sox) - 5-6, 3.14 ERA vs Zach Thornton (Mets) - 0-1, 4.35 ERA

The Red Sox will give the nod to Payton Tolle (5-6) versus the Mets and Zach Thornton (0-1). Tolle's team is 4-10-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Tolle's team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-4). Thornton has started two games with set spreads, and the Mets went 1-1-0. The Mets were named the moneyline underdog for one Thornton start this season -- they lost.

Red Sox vs Mets Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Red Sox win (53.4%)

Red Sox vs Mets Moneyline

• Looking at the moneyline for Mets-Red Sox, New York is the underdog at -106, and Boston is -110 playing on the road.

Red Sox vs Mets Spread

• The Red Sox are at the Mets and are favored by 1.5 runs (+150 to cover) on the runline. New York is -182 to cover.

Red Sox vs Mets Over/Under

• The over/under for the Red Sox versus Mets game on July 12 has been set at 8, with -114 odds on the over and -106 odds on the under.

Bet on Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets on FanDuel today!

Red Sox vs Mets Betting Trends

• The Red Sox have been victorious in 26, or 45.6%, of the 57 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• This season Boston has been victorious 26 times in 57 chances when named as a favorite of at least -110 on the moneyline.
• Contests with the Red Sox have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 41 of 92 chances this season.
• The Red Sox are 43-49-0 against the spread in their 92 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Mets are 7-24 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 22.6% of those games).
• When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -106 or longer, New York has a 7-21 record (winning only 25% of its games).
• The Mets have combined with opponents to go over the total 43 times this season for a 43-44-6 record against the over/under.
• The Mets have a 40-53-0 record against the spread this season (covering 43% of the time).

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Wilyer Abreu is hitting .264 with 20 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 39 walks. He has an on-base percentage of .335 while slugging .433.
• Among qualified hitters in the majors, he ranks 61st in batting average, 69th in on-base percentage, and 69th in slugging.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit eight homers this season while driving in 39 runs. He's batting .282 this season and slugging .436 with an on-base percentage of .330.
• His batting average ranks 30th among qualified players, his on-base percentage 74th, and his slugging percentage 66th.
• Rafaela has picked up a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBIs.
• Caleb Durbin is batting .230 with a .396 slugging percentage and 39 RBI this year.
• Durbin enters this matchup with four games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with a double, a home run, two walks and two RBIs.
• Jarren Duran has been key for Boston with 65 hits, an OBP of .259 plus a slugging percentage of .351.

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto has accumulated an on-base percentage of .410 and has 80 hits, both team-best marks for the Mets. He's batting .294 and slugging .570.
• Including all qualifying hitters, he ranks 15th in batting average, while his on-base percentage is second and he is fourth in slugging.
• Bo Bichette paces his team with a .377 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .256 with an on-base percentage of .301.
• His batting average is 71st among all qualified players, his on-base percentage is 125th, and he is 117th in slugging.
• Carson Benge is batting .266 with 12 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 29 walks.
• A.J. Ewing has eight doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 22 walks while batting .276.

Red Sox vs Mets Head to Head

• 7/11/2026: 4-0 BOS (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 5/21/2025: 5-1 NYM (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -152, Underdog Moneyline: +128)
• 5/20/2025: 2-0 BOS (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 5/19/2025: 3-1 BOS (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 9/4/2024: 8-3 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 9/3/2024: 7-2 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 9/2/2024: 4-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 7/23/2023: 6-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 7/22/2023: 8-6 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -122, Underdog Moneyline: +104)

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