Red Sox vs Mets Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 12

Odds updated as of 1:12 p.m.

On Sunday in MLB, the Boston Red Sox are up against the New York Mets.

All the info you need to make smart bets on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.

Red Sox vs Mets Game Info

• Boston Red Sox (45-48) vs. New York Mets (40-56)
• Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026
• Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: Citi Field -- Queens, New York
• Coverage: WPIX and NESN

Red Sox vs Mets Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: BOS: (-110) | NYM: (-106)
• Spread: BOS: -1.5 (+150) | NYM: +1.5 (-182)
• Total: 8 -- Over: (-114) | Under: (-106)

Red Sox vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Payton Tolle (Red Sox) - 5-6, 3.14 ERA vs Zach Thornton (Mets) - 0-1, 4.35 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Red Sox will send Payton Tolle (5-6) to the mound, while Zach Thornton (0-1) will take the ball for the Mets. When Tolle starts, his team is 4-10-0 against the spread this season. Tolle's team has been victorious in 50% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-4. Thornton has started two games with set spreads, and the Mets went 1-1-0. The Mets were named the moneyline underdog for one Thornton start this season -- they lost.

Red Sox vs Mets Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Red Sox win (53.4%)

Red Sox vs Mets Moneyline

• The Red Sox vs Mets moneyline has Boston as a -110 favorite, while New York is a -106 underdog at home.

Red Sox vs Mets Spread

• The Mets are +1.5 on the run line against the Red Sox. The Mets are -182 to cover, and the Red Sox are +150.

Red Sox vs Mets Over/Under

• A total of 8 runs has been set for the Red Sox-Mets game on July 12, with the over available at -114 and the under at -106.

Bet on Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets on FanDuel today!

Red Sox vs Mets Betting Trends

• The Red Sox have won in 26, or 45.6%, of the 57 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• This season Boston has been victorious 26 times in 57 chances when named as a favorite of at least -110 on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox and their opponents have gone over in 41 of their 92 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Red Sox have posted a record of 43-49-0 against the spread this season.
• The Mets have gone 7-24 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 22.6% of those games).
• In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -106 or longer, New York has a record of 7-21 (25%).
• The Mets have played in 93 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 43 times (43-44-6).
• The Mets have gone 40-53-0 ATS this season.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Wilyer Abreu has 20 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 39 walks while hitting .264. He has an on-base percentage of .335 and a slugging percentage of .433.
• Among all qualifying batters in the majors, he ranks 61st in batting average, 69th in on-base percentage, and 69th in slugging.
• Ceddanne Rafaela leads Boston in slugging percentage (.436) thanks to 33 extra-base hits. He's batting .282 with an on-base percentage of .330.
• Among qualifying hitters, his batting average ranks him 30th, his on-base percentage 74th, and his slugging percentage 66th.
• Rafaela enters this game looking to extend his two-game hit streak. In his last five games he is hitting .273 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBIs.
• Caleb Durbin has collected 65 base hits, an OBP of .293 and a slugging percentage of .396 this season.
• Durbin has recorded a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with a double, a home run, two walks and two RBIs.
• Jarren Duran is batting .193 with a .259 OBP and 44 RBI for Boston this season.

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto has racked up an on-base percentage of .410 and has 80 hits, both team-best numbers for the Mets. He's batting .294 and slugging .570.
• Including all the qualified hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks 15th, his on-base percentage is second, and he is fourth in slugging.
• Bo Bichette is slugging .377 to lead his team. He has a batting average of .256 with an on-base percentage of .301.
• His batting average ranks 71st among all qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks 125th, and he is 117th in slugging.
• Carson Benge has 12 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 29 walks while batting .266.
• A.J. Ewing is batting .276 with eight doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 22 walks.

Red Sox vs Mets Head to Head

• 7/11/2026: 4-0 BOS (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 5/21/2025: 5-1 NYM (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -152, Underdog Moneyline: +128)
• 5/20/2025: 2-0 BOS (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 5/19/2025: 3-1 BOS (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 9/4/2024: 8-3 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 9/3/2024: 7-2 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 9/2/2024: 4-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 7/23/2023: 6-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 7/22/2023: 8-6 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -122, Underdog Moneyline: +104)

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!