The No. 1 seed North Carolina Tar Heels (28-7) take on the No. 9 seed Michigan State Spartans (20-14) with a Sweet 16 berth in the West Region of the bracket up for grabs on Saturday at Spectrum Center at 5:30 PM ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

North Carolina vs. Michigan State Game Info and Odds

• Game Day: Saturday, March 23, 2024
• Game Time: 5:30 PM ET
• TV Channel: CBS
• Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
• Arena: Spectrum Center

North Carolina vs. Michigan State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: North Carolina win (64%)

Read these betting trends and insights before you bet on Saturday's North Carolina-Michigan State spread (North Carolina -3.5) or total (142.5 points).

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North Carolina vs. Michigan State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• North Carolina has covered 20 times in 35 games with a spread this season.
• Michigan State has won 19 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 15 times.
• North Carolina (14-12) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 3.5 points or more this season (53.8%) than Michigan State (3-2) does as a 3.5+-point underdog (60%).
• The Tar Heels have done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (7-3-0) than they have at home (8-7-0).
• In 2023-24 against the spread, the Spartans have a better winning percentage at home (.611, 11-7-0 record) than away (.400, 4-6-0).

North Carolina vs. Michigan State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• North Carolina has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 27 games this year and has walked away with the win 23 times (85.2%) in those games.
• This year, the Tar Heels have won 19 of 23 games when listed as at least -178 or better on the moneyline.
• Michigan State has won 33.3% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (2-4).
• The Spartans have gone 1-2 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +146 or longer (33.3%).
• North Carolina has an implied victory probability of 64% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

North Carolina vs. Michigan State Head-to-Head Comparison

• North Carolina outscores opponents by 11.7 points per game (scoring 81.7 per game to rank 20th in college basketball while allowing 70 per contest to rank 113th in college basketball) and has a +410 scoring differential overall.
• RJ Davis' team-leading 21.4 points per game ranks 10th in the country.
• Michigan State outscores opponents by 7.5 points per game (posting 73 points per game, 192nd in college basketball, and conceding 65.5 per outing, 19th in college basketball) and has a +255 scoring differential.
• Tyson Walker's 18.2 points per game leads Michigan State and ranks 77th in the nation.
• The Tar Heels win the rebound battle by 7.7 boards on average. They record 41.2 rebounds per game, which ranks seventh in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 33.5 per outing.
• Armando Bacot leads the team with 10.3 rebounds per game (12th in college basketball action).
• The Spartans average 34.6 rebounds per game (218th in college basketball), compared to the 33.6 of their opponents.
• Malik Hall is 437th in college basketball with 5.6 rebounds per game, leading the Spartans.
• North Carolina scores 102.2 points per 100 possessions (33rd in college basketball), while giving up 87.6 points per 100 possessions (38th in college basketball).
• The Spartans' 97.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 114th in college basketball, and the 87.7 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 42nd in college basketball.

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