North Carolina vs Michigan State Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - November 27

The Michigan State Spartans (5-2) play the North Carolina Tar Heels (4-2) at Lahaina Civic Center on November 27, 2024.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

North Carolina vs. Michigan State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, November 27, 2024
• Game time: 9:30 PM ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Lahaina, Hawaii
• Arena: Lahaina Civic Center

North Carolina vs. Michigan State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: North Carolina win (66.6%)

Here's a look at some betting insights for North Carolina (-4.5) versus Michigan State on Wednesday. The total is set at 157.5 points for this game.

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North Carolina vs. Michigan State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• North Carolina has put together a 3-3-0 record against the spread this season.
• Michigan State has won three games against the spread this year, while failing to cover four times.
• North Carolina covers the spread when it is a 4.5-point favorite or more 50% of the time. That's more often than Michigan State covers as an underdog of 4.5 or more (never covered this season).
• The Tar Heels owned a worse record against the spread at home (8-7-0) than they did in road games (7-3-0) last season.
• In 2023-24 against the spread, the Spartans had a better winning percentage at home (.611, 11-7-0 record) than on the road (.400, 4-6-0).

North Carolina vs. Michigan State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• North Carolina has yet to lose any of the four games it has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Tar Heels have been a -210 moneyline favorite on four occasions this season and won every game.
• Michigan State has been the moneyline underdog just one other time so far this season, a game it lost.
• The Spartans have played as a moneyline underdog of +172 or longer in only one game this season, which they lost.
• North Carolina has an implied victory probability of 67.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

North Carolina vs. Michigan State Head-to-Head Comparison

• North Carolina is outscoring opponents by 11.7 points per game with a +70 scoring differential overall. It puts up 89.5 points per game (11th in college basketball) and gives up 77.8 per outing (311th in college basketball).
• RJ Davis paces North Carolina, recording 18.8 points per game (58th in the nation).
• Michigan State outscores opponents by 11.7 points per game (posting 78.6 points per game, 149th in college basketball, and allowing 66.9 per contest, 97th in college basketball) and has a +82 scoring differential.
• Jaden is ranked 556th in college basketball with a team-high 12.7 points per game.
• The Tar Heels prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 2.1 boards. They are collecting 35.8 rebounds per game (102nd in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 33.7 per contest.
• Jae'Lyn Withers' 6.2 rebounds per game lead the Tar Heels and rank 322nd in college basketball action.
• The Spartans grab 37.0 rebounds per game (62nd in college basketball) while conceding 28.1 per contest to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 8.9 boards per game.
• Jaxon Kohler averages 7.9 rebounds per game (100th in college basketball) to lead the Spartans.
• North Carolina ranks 23rd in college basketball with 108.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 265th in college basketball defensively with 94.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Spartans rank 150th in college basketball averaging 98.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 86th, allowing 83.8 points per 100 possessions.

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