MLB Win Total Betting: How Many Games Will the Yankees Win in 2024?

Gabriel Santiago
Gabriel Santiago@gps_onthemic
MLB Win Total Betting: How Many Games Will the Yankees Win in 2024?

The New York Yankees have officially gone 14 seasons (and counting) between World Series appearances, which is one of the longest dead streaks in franchise history.

To compound the pressure on New York in 2024, the Bronx Bombers are coming off a year wherein they missed the playoffs. Over NYY's current championship dry spell, they have failed to qualify for the postseason on only four occasions.

Simply, New York should be invigorated in the coming campaign. Going forward, what is the Yankees' win total set at -- per the MLB win totals at FanDuel Sportsbook -- for the 2024 season?

Pertaining to NYY, we see a win total listed at 94.5 games.

Let's dig into what we can expect from the Yanks and which side of the win total should interest you.

All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published. nERD via numberFire. Projections via FanGraphs.

New York Yankees Win Total Odds

New York Yankees Over/Under 94.5 Wins

  • Over: -105
  • Under: -115

Why Yankees Could Win Over 94.5 Games (-105)

The clean-shaven team suited in pinstripes returns with both talent and experience.

In 2024, Yankees will again be led by captain and slugging outfielder Aaron Judge. Two years removed from an MVP bid, Judge is looking to stay healthy for the coming season.

Of course, substantial assistance has arrived in the Bronx since the conclusion of 2023. NYY had a busy offseason, adding the talents of Juan Soto, Alex Verdugo and Trent Grisham to bolster the batting lineup. Additionally, hurler Marcus Stroman joins a veteran pitching rotation for the Yanks.

Along with Stroman, New York still showcases Gerrit Cole on the bump, who is fresh off his first Cy Young award in 2023. From there, southpaws Nestor Cortes and Carlos Rodon round out a potential buzzsaw group.

As alluded to, the Bombers are looking to bounce back from a down year. Prior to 2023, New York had averaged 97 wins over the past five full regular seasons. Obviously, that would fare well going against FanDuel's set total of 94.5 games for the Yanks.

At numberFire, the Yankees (1.04 nERD) enter the season viewed as the fourth-best team in MLB. Also, that rating is tops amongst the AL East, which is annually one of the most competitive circuits in baseball.

If NYY infielders DJ LeMahieu and Anthony Rizzo can resurge offensively in the coming year, that would play a major factor in getting back to their winning ways. Staying with Anthonys, keep an eye on Anthony Volpe and Gleyber Torres up the middle -- the two are a dynamic double-play pairing.

Lest we forget, there needs to be improvement in the batter's box. New York's American League side produced a .701 team OPS in 2023, which was tied for 24th in the Majors.

Why Yankees Could Win Under 94.5 Games (-115)

Notably, the Yankees are coming off their worst winning percentage through a single campaign (.506) since 1992. Last year, New York's 82 total wins failed to impress those nationally and even less so for residents of the Bronx.

In any season, winning 90+ contests is no small feat. For teams that play in well-rounded divisions, that previous statement is exponentially true. With the current schedule layout, 52 of the Yankees' games will come against formidable AL East foes: the archrival Boston Red Sox, Baltimore Orioles, Tampa Bay Rays and Toronto Blue Jays. All that considered, FanGraphs predicts New York to win only 89 contests in 2024.

The AL East was the lone grouping to produce three playoff teams last year. Taking a closer look, the division shelled out a collective .554 winning percentage, which was largely the best in baseball. If the Yanks are to go over 94 wins through the regular season, they will certainly have earned it.

At FanDuel Sportsbook, the juice is slightly on the under (-115 odds) for the Yankees win-total market in early March. That is with respect to a lofty number. Still, there are pinstripe supporters who believe the team has run its course with Aaron Boone as manager.

Boone will be back for his seventh year at skipper. After compiling a triple-digit total in the win column for each of his first two seasons in New York, the Yanks have seemingly regressed from that prowess. In two of the last three campaigns, NYY has failed to go over 94.5 wins.

Although I am as eager as anyone to witness Juan Soto blast baseballs into Yankee Stadium's infamous right-field porch, New York has a tall task ahead in this market. Still, the desired turnaround can be ignited by taking better at-bats; newcomers Soto and Alex Verdugo should help the team improve on last season's poor .304 wOBA.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.