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Mets vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 5

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Mets vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 5

Odds updated as of 9:11 a.m.

The MLB's Monday slate includes the Arizona Diamondbacks taking on the New York Mets.

Before you do any MLB betting on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's what you need to know.

Diamondbacks vs Mets Game Info

  • Arizona Diamondbacks (18-16) vs. New York Mets (22-13)
  • Date: Monday, May 5, 2025
  • Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Chase Field -- Phoenix, Arizona
  • Coverage: ARID and SNY

Diamondbacks vs Mets Odds & Moneyline

  • All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: ARI: (-112) | NYM: (-104)
  • Spread: ARI: +1.5 (-170) | NYM: -1.5 (+140)
  • Total: 9.5 -- Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

Diamondbacks vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Ryne Nelson (Diamondbacks) - 1-0, 5.82 ERA vs Griffin Canning (Mets) - 4-1, 2.61 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Diamondbacks will send Ryne Nelson (1-0) to the mound, while Griffin Canning (4-1) will answer the bell for the Mets. Nelson and his team were 14-11-0 ATS in his 25 appearances with a spread last season. Nelson and his team were 6-2 when he pitched and they were the moneyline favorite. When Canning starts, the Mets are 4-2-0 against the spread. The Mets were the moneyline underdog for two Canning starts this season -- they split the games.

Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Diamondbacks win (53.5%)

Diamondbacks vs Mets Moneyline

  • New York is the underdog, -104 on the moneyline, while Arizona is a -112 favorite at home.

Diamondbacks vs Mets Spread

  • The Mets are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Diamondbacks. The Mets are +140 to cover, while the Diamondbacks are -170 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.

Diamondbacks vs Mets Over/Under

  • Diamondbacks versus Mets on May 5 has an over/under of 9.5 runs, with the odds on the over -105 and the under set at -115.

Bet on Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets on FanDuel today!

Diamondbacks vs Mets Betting Trends

  • The Diamondbacks have been chosen as favorites in 22 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (54.5%) in those games.
  • This season Arizona has been victorious 12 times in 22 chances when named as a favorite of at least -112 on the moneyline.
  • The Diamondbacks and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 17 of their 33 opportunities.
  • The Diamondbacks have an against the spread mark of 16-17-0 in 33 games with a line this season.
  • The Mets have won four of the eight games they were the moneyline underdog this season (50%).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -104 or longer, New York has gone 4-3 (57.1%).
  • The Mets have played in 34 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 14 times (14-20-0).
  • The Mets have put together an 18-16-0 record against the spread this season (covering 52.9% of the time).

Diamondbacks Player Leaders

  • Geraldo Perdomo leads Arizona with an OBP of .400 this season while batting .292 with 24 walks and 18 runs scored. He has a slugging percentage of .475.
  • Among qualifying hitters in MLB, his batting average ranks 26th, his on-base percentage ranks seventh, and he is 39th in slugging.
  • Corbin Carroll leads Arizona in slugging percentage (.575) and total hits (41) this season. He's batting .281 with an on-base percentage of .344.
  • Among qualified hitters, his batting average places him 40th, his on-base percentage 60th, and his slugging percentage seventh.
  • Josh Naylor has 38 hits this season and has a slash line of .304/.380/.472.
  • Eugenio Suarez has been key for Arizona with 23 hits, an OBP of .275 plus a slugging percentage of .475.

Mets Player Leaders

  • Pete Alonso has put up an on-base percentage of .468, a slugging percentage of .656, and has 43 hits, all club-bests for the Mets (while batting .344).
  • Including all the qualified hitters in the big leagues, his batting average is third, his on-base percentage is second, and he is second in slugging.
  • Alonso takes a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .333 with two doubles, a home run, five walks and three RBI.
  • Juan Soto is batting .256 with eight doubles, five home runs and 25 walks. He's slugging .434 with an on-base percentage of .374.
  • Including all qualified hitters, he is 70th in batting average, 30th in on-base percentage and 60th in slugging percentage.
  • Francisco Lindor is batting .290 with five doubles, six home runs and 11 walks.
  • Brandon Nimmo has five doubles, seven home runs and 10 walks while batting .220.

Diamondbacks vs Mets Head to Head

  • 5/1/2025: 4-2 ARI (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
  • 4/30/2025: 4-3 ARI (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
  • 4/29/2025: 8-3 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
  • 8/29/2024: 3-2 NYM (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
  • 8/28/2024: 8-5 ARI (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
  • 8/27/2024: 8-3 NYM (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
  • 6/2/2024: 5-4 ARI (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
  • 6/1/2024: 10-5 ARI (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
  • 5/31/2024: 10-9 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
  • 5/30/2024: 3-2 NYM (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)

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