Florida Atlantic vs North Texas College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for AAC Tournament

The No. 6 seed North Texas Mean Green (18-13, 9-9 AAC) and the No. 7 seed Florida Atlantic Owls (18-14, 9-9 AAC) will look to advance in the AAC tournament on Thursday as they square off at 9:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 12, 2026
• Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPNU
• Location: Birmingham, Alabama
• Arena: Legacy Arena at BJCC

North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida Atlantic win (54%)

Before you decide to wager on North Texas-Florida Atlantic outing (in which North Texas is a 1.5-point favorite and the over/under is set at 136.5 points), here are some betting trends and insights for Thursday's game.

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North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• North Texas has put together a 15-14-0 record against the spread this season.
• Florida Atlantic has covered 17 times in 29 chances against the spread this year.
• North Texas (4-10) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 1.5 points or more this season (28.6%) than Florida Atlantic (7-4) does as a 1.5+-point underdog (63.6%).
• When playing at home, the Mean Green have a worse record against the spread (6-8-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (7-5-0).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Owls have a better winning percentage at home (.615, 8-5-0 record) than on the road (.417, 5-7-0).
• North Texas is 9-9-0 against the spread in conference action this season.
• Against the spread in AAC play, Florida Atlantic is 9-10-0 this year.

North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic: Moneyline Betting Stats

• North Texas has come away with nine wins in the 13 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Mean Green have a win-loss record of 9-2 when favored by -126 or better by bookmakers this year.
• Florida Atlantic has won two of the 11 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (18.2%).
• The Owls have a 1-9 record (winning only 10% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +105 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies North Texas has a 55.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic Head-to-Head Comparison

• North Texas is outscoring opponents by 3.8 points per game with a +118 scoring differential overall. It puts up 70.4 points per game (295th in college basketball) and allows 66.6 per outing (27th in college basketball).
• Je'Shawn Stevenson is 153rd in college basketball with a team-high 17.1 points per game.
• Florida Atlantic puts up 78.9 points per game (104th in college basketball) while allowing 74.3 per contest (195th in college basketball). It has a +147 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 4.6 points per game.
• Devin Vanterpool's team-leading 15.8 points per game rank him 233rd in college basketball.
• The Mean Green win the rebound battle by 1.4 boards on average. They collect 31.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 206th in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 30.2 per contest.
• Dylan Arnett's 5.8 rebounds per game lead the Mean Green and rank 325th in college basketball action.
• The Owls are 32nd in college basketball at 35.4 rebounds per game. That's 4.8 more than the 30.6 their opponents average.
• Vanterpool averages 6.3 rebounds per game (244th in college basketball) to lead the Owls.
• North Texas' 92.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 302nd in college basketball, and the 87.5 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 33rd in college basketball.
• The Owls rank 168th in college basketball with 98.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 101st defensively with 92.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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