Soccer

FanDuel Soccer: EPL DFS Picks and Helper for the Final Day (5/19/24)

Zack Bussiere
Zack Bussiere@ZackBussiere
FanDuel Soccer: EPL DFS Picks and Helper for the Final Day (5/19/24)

It all comes down to this -- 37 matchweeks down, one to go.

In Matchweek 38, all eyes will be on the battle at the top of the table, where Manchester City lead Arsenal by two points. With a win, Manchester City will repeat as champions for the fourth season in a row and earn their sixth title in seven years. A loss or a tie by City, and the door is open for Arsenal, who hold a one-goal lead on goal-differential and could claim the title with a win if City slip up.

As always, we're covering FanDuel's main slate, which kicks off at 11 a.m. EST on Sunday. All betting lines come from the soccer odds at FanDuel Sportsbook, and they may change after the article is published.

EPL DFS Picks

Slate Overview

Newcastle (+125) at Brentford (+190)
Over 2.5 Goals: -271 Most Likely to Score: Callum Wilson (+125)

Brighton (+110) at Manchester United (+200)
Over 2.5 Goals: -334 | Most Likely to Score: Joao Pedro (+135)

Everton (+1500) at Arsenal (-600)
Over 2.5 Goals: -286 | Most Likely to Score: Gabriel Jesus (+110)

Bournemouth (+500) at Chelsea (-230)
Over 2.5 Goals: -400 | Most Likely to Score: Cole Palmer (-110)

West Ham (+1900) at Manchester City (-1100)
Over 2.5 Goals: -589 | Most Likely to Score: Erling Haaland (-270)

Tottenham (-300) at Sheffield United (+600)
Over 2.5 Goals: -500 | Most Likely to Score: Son Heung-Min (-105)

Aston Villa (+270) at Crystal Palace (-120)
Over 2.5 Goals: -264 | Most Likely to Score: Odsonne Edouard (+130)

Fulham (+120) at Luton (+190)
Over 2.5 Goals: -239 | Most Likely to Score: Rodrigo Muniz/Raul Jimenez (+170)

Wolves (+1400) at Liverpool (-650)
Over 2.5 Goals: -500 | Most Likely to Score: Mohamed Salah (-150)

Nottingham Forest (+130) at Burnley (+190)
Over 2.5 Goals: -209 | Most Likely to Score: Taiwo Awoniyi (+125)

Positional Breakdown

Forwards/Midfielders

Sunday's final day main slate features 10 matches and all 20 EPL clubs. As is the case each season, the final day is the best EPL DFS slate of the year. The focus this Sunday will be on the title race -- where Manchester City are hosting West Ham and Arsenal are at home versus Everton.

City (-1100) is the largest favorite on the slate by a wide margin. Despite needing a win, Arsenal (-600) is not the second-largest favorite, that honor belongs to Liverpool (-650) versus Wolves in Jurgen Klopp's final game at Anfield.

All three of these teams are set up for success, and their stars are excellent options. Erling Haaland ($25, -270 anytime goal scoring odds), has the best odds to score on the slate. He has scored seven goals over his last four matches. Kevin De Bruyne ($20, +195), Phil Foden ($19, +100), and Bernardo Silva ($16, +300) also have positive outlooks in a must-win game for City.

For Liverpool, Mohamed Salah ($21, -150), Cody Gakpo ($19, +120), and Luis Diaz ($17, +145) deserve serious consideration facing a Wolves side that has conceded eight goals over their last two matches. For the Gunners -- who are eliminated from the title race with anything less than a win -- Bukayo Saka ($23, +125), Kai Havertz ($19, +130), Leandro Trossard ($16, +140), and Martin Odegaard ($18, +180) are the best options. They face a more difficult task than City and Wolves do against an Everton side that is undefeated in their last five matches with just one goal conceded.

Outside of the big three, the teams that stick out the most are Tottenham, Chelsea, and Crystal Palace.

Spurs have struggled recently with four losses in their last five, but it's been a difficult stretch schedule-wise. Sunday, they get a dream matchup against a horrendous Sheffield United defense. Son Heung-Min ($21, -105) and James Maddison ($18, +170) deserve consideration.

For Chelsea, it's all about Cole Palmer ($24, -110). The first-year Chelsea attacker has been arguably the best player in the EPL since the start of March. Nicolas Jackson ($18, +115), who has four goals in his last four matches, is also in a good spot.

Crystal Palace are finishing the season strong under new manager Oliver Glasner, with five wins and a draw in their last six matches. Don't overlook their trio of Eberechi Eze ($17, +155), Michael Olise ($20, +210), and Jean-Philippe Mateta ($15, +130) despite what may seem like a difficult matchup with Villa. Aston Villa's top-four spot is secured, so they may not be all that motivated at Selhurst Park. There's a reason Palace is -120 to win.

Of the remaining games, the clash between Brighton and Manchester United has the best odds to see over 2.5 goals (-334). These two sides have both struggled to defend recently, providing optimism for Joao Pedro ($16, +135), Danny Welbeck ($15, +175), Bruno Fernandes ($22, +250), Alejandro Garnacho ($15, +260), and Amad Diallo ($14, +250).

Added time -- Some other options to consider include Alexander Isak ($19, -110 to score or assist), Ivan Toney ($17, -120), Morgan Gibbs-White ($16, +110), Harvey Elliott ($13, -110), and Ollie Watkins ($20, +120).

Defenders

With all 20 teams in action, there are numerous options available at the defender position, and we could have more value plays than usual if some teams opt to give bench players a final-day start.

All of the defenders facing the trio of Manchester City, Arsenal, and Liverpool will be busy

For West Ham, consider Angelo Ogbonna ($8), Kurt Zouma ($11), and Emerson ($11). For Everton, Jarrad Branthwaite ($12), James Tarkowski ($14), and Seamus Coleman ($8) deserve a look. Wolves' Max Kilman ($12), Toti Gomes ($9), and Nelson Semedo ($10) will likely be under siege at Anfield.

If you are looking for involvement on both ends of the pitch, Fulham's Antonee Robinson ($14, +410 to score or assist) continues to be an excellent play. He is averaging 19.2 FanDuel points per match and has scored double-digit FanDuel points in 27 consecutive starts.

Tottenham's Pedro Porro ($15, +150) has excellent odds to score or assist for a defender. In his last five matches combined, he has nine shots, one goal, and five chances created.

For Newcastle, Kieran Trippier ($15, +180) played 63 minutes in his first start since missing most of April and May with a calf injury. He picked up right where he left off, totaling two chances created and eight crosses.

Liverpool's Andrew Roberston ($15, +135) could return after sitting out on Monday. He has at least 25.0 FanDuel points in three consecutive matches and a goal in each of his last two.

Manchester City's Josko Gvardiol ($14, +240) is in excellent form, notching at least 19.8 FanDuel points in each of his last four matches, a stretch that includes three goals.

For Brentford, Sergio Reguilon ($13, +410) is averaging an extremely impressive 28.8 FanDuel points per match over his last six fixtures.

Added time -- For GPPs, Manchester United's Casemiro ($14, +340 to score or assist), has been heavily involved on both ends of the pitch since his move to center-back. He has at least two shots in five consecutive matches and at least 18.0 FanDuel points in five of his six matches since making the switch.

Goalies

Manchester City's Stefan Ortega ($14) -- filling in for the injured Ederson -- leads all goalies in win odds by a significant margin, but he has a slightly worse clean-sheet outlook than Arsenal's David Raya ($13). West Ham are listed at -110 to score no goals, and Everton are listed at -115 to go without a goal. Liverpool's Alisson ($13) has similar win odds to Raya's but a worse clean-sheet outlook, with Wolves at +130 to score no goals.

After that trio, there is a tier drop for both win odds and clean-sheet outlook. Of the remaining goalies, Chelsea's Djordje Petrovic ($12) and Tottenham's Guglielmo Vicario ($12) have the best chance at a clean-sheet as Bournemouth and Sheffield both come in at +220 to score no goals.

Next up is Crystal Palace's Dean Henderson ($11), with Aston Villa listed at +280 to score no goals, followed by Forest's Matz Sels ($10) with Burnley at +330 to be held off the scoresheet. Fulham's Bernd Leno ($11) -- Luton +360 to score no goals -- and Newcastle's Nick Pope ($11) -- Brentford at +390 to score no goals -- round out things.

The last remaining match to check on is Brighton vs. Manchester United, where neither goalie has a confident clean-sheet outlook. United are at +420 to score no goals while Brighton are +650.

Added time – For GPP's, Burnley's Arijanet Muric ($9) has the best clean-sheet outlook of any of the underdogs on Sunday. Forest come in at +420 to score no goals and have just one win (at Sheffield United) in their last eight away fixtures.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.