Braves vs Pirates Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 10

Odds updated as of 2:11 a.m.
The Atlanta Braves versus the Pittsburgh Pirates is on the MLB schedule for Saturday.
Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.
Braves vs Pirates Game Info
- Atlanta Braves (18-20) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (13-26)
- Date: Saturday, May 10, 2025
- Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
- Venue: PNC Park -- Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- Coverage: SportsNet PT and FDSSO
Braves vs Pirates Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: ATL: (-138) | PIT: (+118)
- Spread: ATL: -1.5 (+122) | PIT: +1.5 (-146)
- Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (-100)
Braves vs Pirates Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: AJ Smith-Shawver (Braves) - 2-2, 3.00 ERA vs Andrew Heaney (Pirates) - 2-3, 3.18 ERA
The Braves will give the nod to AJ Smith-Shawver (2-2) versus the Pirates and Andrew Heaney (2-3). Smith-Shawver's team is 3-2-0 against the spread this season in his starts. Smith-Shawver's team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 2-1. When Heaney starts, the Pirates have gone 2-5-0 against the spread. The Pirates have a 2-3 record in Heaney's five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
Braves vs Pirates Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Braves win (50.3%)
Braves vs Pirates Moneyline
- Looking at the moneyline for Pirates-Braves, Pittsburgh is the underdog at +118, and Atlanta is -138 playing on the road.
Braves vs Pirates Spread
- The Braves are favored by 1.5 runs on the road against the Pirates. The Braves are +122 to cover the spread, while the Pirates are -146.
Braves vs Pirates Over/Under
- An over/under of 8.5 has been set for Braves-Pirates on May 10, with the over being -122 and the under -100.
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Braves vs Pirates Betting Trends
- The Braves have come away with 15 wins in the 27 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
- This season Atlanta has been victorious nine times in 16 chances when named as a favorite of at least -138 on the moneyline.
- The Braves and their opponents have hit the over in 15 of their 37 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Braves are 18-19-0 against the spread in their 37 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Pirates have been the moneyline underdog 24 total times this season. They've finished 8-16 in those games.
- In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +118 or longer, Pittsburgh has a record of 5-11 (31.2%).
- The Pirates have had an over/under set by bookmakers 38 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 17 of those games (17-20-1).
- The Pirates have a 13-25-0 record ATS this season.
Braves Player Leaders
- Matt Olson has five doubles, six home runs and 28 walks while hitting .222. He has an on-base percentage of .358 and a slugging percentage of .393.
- Among all qualified batters in the majors, his batting average ranks 125th, his on-base percentage ranks 46th, and he is 96th in slugging.
- Ozzie Albies has four doubles, five home runs and 13 walks. He's batting .225 and slugging .351 with an on-base percentage of .285.
- Among all qualified hitters, he ranks 121st in batting average, 129th in on-base percentage and 125th in slugging percentage.
- Marcell Ozuna leads Atlanta with an OBP of .425 this season while batting .269 with 32 walks and 16 runs scored.
- Austin Riley has 46 hits to go with a slugging percentage of .487, both of which lead Atlanta hitters this season.
- Riley brings an eight-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .317 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and seven RBIs.
Pirates Player Leaders
- Oneil Cruz has racked up a team-best OBP (.374), and leads the Pirates in hits (31). He's batting .246 and slugging.
- Including all the qualified players in the big leagues, his batting average is 92nd, his on-base percentage ranks 32nd, and he is 38th in slugging.
- Andrew McCutchen is batting .259 with seven doubles, three home runs and 14 walks. He's slugging .407 with an on-base percentage of .350.
- He is 66th in batting average, 54th in on-base percentage and 82nd in slugging percentage in MLB.
- Bryan Reynolds has racked up a slugging percentage of .351, a team-best for the Pirates.
- Adam Frazier has three doubles, two home runs and eight walks while hitting .222.
Braves vs Pirates Head to Head
- 5/9/2025: 3-2 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)
- 6/30/2024: 4-2 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
- 6/29/2024: 2-1 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
- 6/28/2024: 6-1 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
- 5/26/2024: 8-1 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -230, Underdog Moneyline: +190)
- 5/25/2024: 4-1 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
- 5/24/2024: 11-5 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: +152, Underdog Moneyline: N/A)
- 9/10/2023: 5-2 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10, Favorite Moneyline: -270, Underdog Moneyline: +220)
- 9/9/2023: 8-4 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10.5, Favorite Moneyline: -215, Underdog Moneyline: +180)
- 9/8/2023: 8-2 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -200, Underdog Moneyline: +168)
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