Braves vs Pirates Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 10

Odds updated as of 3:11 p.m.

The Atlanta Braves will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action on Saturday.

Before you do any MLB betting on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.

Braves vs Pirates Game Info

• Atlanta Braves (18-20) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (13-26)
• Date: Saturday, May 10, 2025
• Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
• Venue: PNC Park -- Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Coverage: SportsNet PT and FDSSO

Braves vs Pirates Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: ATL: (-154) | PIT: (+130)
• Spread: ATL: -1.5 (+108) | PIT: +1.5 (-130)
• Total: 9 -- Over: (-104) | Under: (-118)

Braves vs Pirates Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: AJ Smith-Shawver (Braves) - 2-2, 3.00 ERA vs Andrew Heaney (Pirates) - 2-3, 3.18 ERA

The probable starters are AJ Smith-Shawver (2-2) for the Braves and Andrew Heaney (2-3) for the Pirates. Smith-Shawver's team is 3-2-0 against the spread in his starts this season. When Smith-Shawver starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-1. The Pirates have a 2-5-0 record against the spread in Heaney's starts. The Pirates have been the underdog on the moneyline in five of Heaney's starts this season, and they went 2-3 in those matchups.

Braves vs Pirates Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Pirates win (50.3%)

Braves vs Pirates Moneyline

• The Braves vs Pirates moneyline has Atlanta as a -154 favorite, while Pittsburgh is a +130 underdog at home.

Braves vs Pirates Spread

• The Pirates are +1.5 on the run line against the Braves. The Pirates are -130 to cover, and the Braves are +108.

Braves vs Pirates Over/Under

• An over/under of 9 has been set for Braves-Pirates on May 10, with the over being -104 and the under -118.

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Braves vs Pirates Betting Trends

• The Braves have been victorious in 15, or 55.6%, of the 27 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Atlanta has a record of 8-3 when favored by -154 or more this year.
• The Braves and their opponents have hit the over in 15 of their 37 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 37 games with a line this season, the Braves have a mark of 18-19-0 against the spread.
• The Pirates have been the moneyline underdog 24 total times this season. They've finished 8-16 in those games.
• When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +130 or longer, Pittsburgh has a 4-10 record (winning only 28.6% of its games).
• The Pirates have played in 38 games with an over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 17 times (17-20-1).
• The Pirates have covered just 34.2% of their games this season, going 13-25-0 ATS.

Braves Player Leaders

• Matt Olson has five doubles, six home runs and 28 walks while batting .222. He has an on-base percentage of .358 and a slugging percentage of .393.
• He is 125th in batting average, 46th in on-base percentage, and 96th in slugging among qualifying hitters in MLB.
• Ozzie Albies is hitting .225 with four doubles, five home runs and 13 walks, while slugging .351 with an on-base percentage of .285.
• Among qualifying batters, his batting average ranks him 121st, his on-base percentage 129th, and his slugging percentage 125th.
• Marcell Ozuna has 32 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .425.
• Austin Riley leads Atlanta with 46 hits and a team-best slugging percentage of .487.
• Riley heads into this matchup on an eight-game hitting streak. During his last 10 games he is batting .317 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and seven RBIs.

Pirates Player Leaders

• Oneil Cruz has 31 hits with a .374 on-base percentage, leading the Pirates in both statistics. He's batting .246 and slugging .476.
• Including all the qualifying players in the majors, his batting average is 92nd, his on-base percentage is 32nd, and he is 38th in slugging.
• Andrew McCutchen is hitting .259 with seven doubles, three home runs and 14 walks. He's slugging .407 with an on-base percentage of .350.
• Including all qualified hitters, he is 66th in batting average, 54th in on-base percentage and 82nd in slugging percentage.
• Bryan Reynolds has a slugging percentage of .351, a team-best for the Pirates.
• Ke'Bryan Hayes' .307 slugging percentage leads his team.

Braves vs Pirates Head to Head

• 5/9/2025: 3-2 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)
• 6/30/2024: 4-2 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
• 6/29/2024: 2-1 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 6/28/2024: 6-1 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
• 5/26/2024: 8-1 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -230, Underdog Moneyline: +190)
• 5/25/2024: 4-1 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
• 5/24/2024: 11-5 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: +152, Underdog Moneyline: N/A)
• 9/10/2023: 5-2 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10, Favorite Moneyline: -270, Underdog Moneyline: +220)
• 9/9/2023: 8-4 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10.5, Favorite Moneyline: -215, Underdog Moneyline: +180)
• 9/8/2023: 8-2 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -200, Underdog Moneyline: +168)

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