3 NFL Player Prop Bets for Monday Night Football: Week 14, Packers at Giants
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy football on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.
Utilizing numberFire's projections as a guide, here are some NFL player props bets that look appealing.
Please note that betting lines and numberFire's game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.
Romeo Doubs Any Time Touchdown (+185)/
Romeo Doubs Over 46.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
The New York Giants host the Green Bay Packers in one of the two Monday Night Football games to close Week 14.
A modest 37.0-point total and the Packers favored by 6.0 points sets the stage for a game that offers a few props worth targeting. For the Packers, Christian Watson is out tonight due to a hamstring injury, which opens up some opportunities for Romeo Doubs in the passing game.
This season, Doubs comes in with a 20.6% red zone target share, which has dipped in recent weeks mainly due to the emergence of Watson. Over the last three games, Watson has a 41.2% red zone target share, which is now up for grabs with him out tonight.
Over these same three games, Doubs is only at a 5.9% target share, which is significantly lower than his 20.6% rate for the season. Aaron Jones is also expected to miss tonight's game so his 21.6% red zone target share is also up for grabs.
Despite lower red zone usage in these recent games, Doubs still has a 14.6% overall target share in this stretch, which has allowed him to go over this 46.5 mark in two of the last three games.
With high-usage red zone players out of the lineup for the Packers, Doubs should step into a larger role tonight. He should be able to capitalize on that usage since the Giants have allowed the 13th-most (2,123) receiving yards and seventh-most (11) touchdowns to wide receivers
Doubs is set for an expanded role in the passing game and will look to attack a weak Giants' secondary.
Saquon Barkley Over 18.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Between his role and the game script, Saquon Barkley is primed for a big night.
The Giants are 6.0-point underdogs which should put them into a passing game script as they play from behind. That should lead to plenty of work for Barkley and an easy route for him to hit over 18.5 receiving yards.
In the four games since Tommy DeVito took over as the Giants' starting quarterback, Barkley has a 14.3% target share, which is the third-highest on the team. Barkley also has a very low 2.6 average depth of target (aDOT), which means he's the safety net for DeVito in the passing game.
Considering the Packers have the fifth-highest (23.7%) quarterback pressure rate, DeVito likely won't have much time in the pocket to look downfield. Instead, he'll be forced to look at easy checkdowns to Barkley.
This should allow Barkley to rack up the yards and hit over on a relatively low-yardage prop.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.