WNBA Betting Picks and Player Props for Saturday 6/15/24

Annie Nader
Annie Nader@ANader33
WNBA Betting Picks and Player Props for Saturday 6/15/24

The WNBA is back, and fans and bettors alike can get into the action on FanDuel Sportsbook.

The W's 40-game season offers a wide variety of betting options, including point spreads, moneylines, and totals. While there's a lot to sift through, advanced stats from the WNBA can help us find an edge in the betting market.

Let's dive into the WNBA odds on FanDuel Sportsbook and find today's best bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

WNBA Best Bets

Connecticut Sun at Dallas Wings

Sun -6.5 (-108)

The Connecticut Sun (11-1) will visit the Dallas Wings (3-8) on Saturday afternoon for the first of a two-game WNBA slate.

Given what we've seen from both teams this season, I believe that the Sun should be coming in as a heavier road favorite.

When looking at these two teams, we can't chalk their talent up to a matter of wins and losses. However, behind Connecticut's league-best record is a very skilled team. They ranked first in defensive rating -- by a notable margin -- and are letting up just 71.1 points per game (fewest).

Dallas, meanwhile, is surrendering 86.0 points per game (second-most) and comes in with the third-worst defense by defensive rating.

Connecticut's offense is more than capable. Each of their starters are averaging double-digits in the points column, and Alyssa Thomas' all-around, game-changing play has earned her a spot in MVP talks (+750 odds; second-shortest), despite the fact that A'ja Wilson exists.

Arike Ogunbowale (26.2 points) is one of the best pure scorers in the league but will be afforded plenty of defensive attention from Connecticut. The Wings would need their role players to step up big time to keep this one close, and I don't know that I'm willing to back that.

Dallas has lost six straight games, and their last five losses have been decided by at least seven points.

Maddy Siegrist Under 14.5 Points (-125)

Maddy Siegrist has been having a breakout sophomore season for Dallas.

In her rookie year, Siegrist averaged a tame 3.7 points and 8.3 minutes per game. She now plays a big role as a starter for the Wings, averaging 14.3 points and 33.1 minutes.

Despite the early encouraging signs, I still think it is apt to target Siegrist's under in Saturday's matchup against Connecticut.

The Sun play at the slowest pace in the league, but the Wings are acclimated to playing at the fifth-fastest pace. Not only should we see fewer possessions than normal for Dallas, but we could see Siegrist struggle in the interior. She relies on the paint to net 70.1% of her points, but the Sun let up the third-fewest paint points per game.

Siegrist has scored under 14.5 points in 6 out of 11 games. In six games against the top six defenses, she is averaging just 12.2 points and netted below 14.5 points in all but two contests.

DeWanna Bonner Over 17.5 Points (-113)

I'm expecting the Sun's leading scorer to take advantage of a friendly defensive matchup on Saturday.

DeWanna Bonner is averaging 18.4 points per game and has scored over 17.5 points in 8 out of 12 contests.

This will be a pace-up game against one of the worst defenses in the league, so Bonner should look to feast.

Bonner is averaging 17.8 points in four games against the top five defenses in the league. However, she is notching 18.8 points in eight games against the bottom seven defenses.

The Wings cede the fourth-most free-throw attempts (FTA) per game while the Sun lead the league in FTA per game. Bonner leads the team in FTA and should be good for some freebies at the charity stripe.

Add in an intriguing shot volume from downtown (team-leading 5.3 3PA per game) and an ability score at every level, and it's easy to like Bonner in this spot.

New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces

Liberty +2.5 (-114)

The long-awaited rematch of the 2023 WNBA Finals is drawing near.

The New York Liberty (11-2) will storm into the Las Vegas Aces' (6-5) territory on Saturday afternoon, and New York seems primed to avenge last season's championship loss.

New York has hardly missed a beat this season, coming in with the league's best offense and a 12.6 net rating (third-best).

Jonquel Jones and Sabrina Ionescu have upped their game from last year, while Breanna Stewart has -- with the exception of her three-point shooting -- been playing at the same level that earned her an MVP nod in 2023.

Things haven't been as peachy in Vegas. The team is one loss away from tying their total loss number in the 2023 season, and we're only in June.

By no means should we sour on the Aces just yet. Chelsea Gray's impact is huge, and an impending return from injury should mean great things for this team, but we can't rely on Gray in this contest.

Wilson and Jackie Young are the pulse of this team, but they alone can't will this group to a win, and inconsistencies from their role players are room for concern.

We should be in for an exciting battle, and when given points to side with the Liberty, I have to take them. They've been dominant on the road, owning a league-best 17-3 away record in 2023 and coming in with a 4-2 road ATS record this season. Las Vegas, meanwhile, is 1-5 ATS on their home floor, via numberFire's database.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.