Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Western Semifinals Odds Prediction, Spread, Tip Off Time, Best Bets for May 12

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game Info

• Date: Sunday, May 12, 2024
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: Target Center -- Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Coverage: TNT

The Minnesota Timberwolves are slight 3.5-point favorites heading into Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Target Center on Sunday, tipping off at 8:00 PM ET on TNT. The Timberwolves have a 2-1 lead in the series. The matchup has an over/under set at 204.5 points.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction:

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

• The Timberwolves have covered the spread 40 times over 82 games with a set spread.
• Against the spread, the Nuggets are 38-42-2 this season.
• This season, 41 of the Timberwolves' games have gone over the point total.
• The Nuggets have eclipsed the over/under 42.7% of the time this season (35 of 82 games with a set point total).
• Against the spread, Minnesota has performed worse when playing at home, covering 18 times in 41 home games, and 22 times in 41 road games.
• The Timberwolves have gone over the total less consistently at home, hitting the over in 19 of 41 home matchups (46.3%). On the road, they have hit the over in 22 of 41 games (53.7%).
• Denver's winning percentage against the spread at home is .512 (21-18-2). On the road, it is .415 (17-24-0).
• Nuggets games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (19 times out of 41) than on the road (16 of 41) this season.

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards is averaging 25.9 points, 5.4 boards and 5.1 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• Rudy Gobert is averaging 14.0 points, 1.3 assists and 12.9 boards.
• Karl-Anthony Towns averages 21.8 points, 8.3 rebounds and 3.0 assists, shooting 50.4% from the field and 41.6% from downtown, with 2.2 made treys per contest.
• Naz Reid's numbers on the season are 13.5 points, 5.2 boards and 1.3 assists per game, shooting 47.7% from the field and 41.4% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.1 made 3-pointers.
• Mike Conley is averaging 11.4 points, 2.9 rebounds and 5.9 assists.

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic averages 26.4 points for the Nuggets, plus 12.4 rebounds and 9.0 assists.
• Michael Porter Jr.'s numbers on the season are 16.7 points, 7.0 boards and 1.5 assists per game. He is draining 48.4% of his shots from the floor and 39.7% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.7 triples.
• Jamal Murray's numbers on the season are 21.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 6.5 assists per contest. He is draining 48.1% of his shots from the field and 42.5% from beyond the arc (10th in league), with an average of 2.5 treys.
• Aaron Gordon averages 13.9 points, 6.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists. He is draining 55.6% of his shots from the field.
• The Nuggets get 10.2 points per game from Reggie Jackson, plus 1.9 rebounds and 3.8 assists.

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