Thunder vs. Timberwolves Western Finals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 22

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game Info

• Date: Thursday, May 22, 2025
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: ESPN and ESPNews

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 7.5-point favorites heading into Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Paycom Center on Thursday, tipping off at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN and ESPNews. The Thunder have a 1-0 series lead. The matchup's point total is set at 217.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (70.7%)

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

• The Thunder have put together a 54-26-2 record against the spread this season.
• The Timberwolves have 39 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
• Thunder games have gone over the total 44 times this season.
• The Timberwolves have hit the over 54.9% of the time this year (45 of 82 games with a set point total).
• Oklahoma City owns a better record against the spread at home (29-12-1) than it does in away games (25-14-1).
• Looking at point totals, the Thunder hit the over more often when playing at home, as they've exceeded the total 25 times in 42 opportunities this season (59.5%). In road games, they have hit the over 19 times in 40 opportunities (47.5%).
• Minnesota's winning percentage against the spread at home is .415 (17-23-1). On the road, it is .537 (22-19-0).
• Looking at the over/under, Timberwolves games have finished over more frequently at home (25 of 41, 61%) than away (20 of 41, 48.8%).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.7 points, 5 boards and 6.4 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.7 steals (fourth in league) and 1 block.
• Jalen Williams is averaging 21.6 points, 5.1 assists and 5.3 rebounds.
• Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 11.2 points, 3.8 assists and 10.7 boards.
• Aaron Wiggins is averaging 12 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Luguentz Dort averages 10.1 points, 4.1 boards and 1.6 assists, shooting 43.5% from the floor and 41.2% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 made 3-pointers per game.

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards averages 27.6 points for the Timberwolves, plus 5.7 boards and 4.5 assists.
• Julius Randle's numbers on the season are 18.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game. He is making 48.5% of his shots from the field and 34.4% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.6 triples.
• Rudy Gobert's numbers on the season are 12 points, 10.9 boards and 1.8 assists per game. He is draining 66.9% of his shots from the floor (third in league).
• Naz Reid averages 14.2 points, 6 rebounds and 2.3 assists. He is making 46.2% of his shots from the field and 37.9% from beyond the arc, with 2.2 treys per contest.
• The Timberwolves receive 12.2 points per game from Jaden McDaniels, plus 5.7 rebounds and 2 assists.

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