Thunder vs. Timberwolves Western Finals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 20

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game Info

• Date: Tuesday, May 20, 2025
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: ESPN and ESPN2

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 7.5-point underdogs heading into Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center on Tuesday, beginning at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN and ESPN2. The matchup has an over/under of 218 points.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (70.6%)

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

• The Thunder have covered the spread 54 times in 82 games with a set spread.
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 39-42-1 this year.
• Thunder games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 44 times this season.
• Timberwolves games this season have eclipsed the over/under 45 times in 82 opportunities (54.9%).
• Oklahoma City has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered 29 times in 42 opportunities at home, and it has covered 25 times in 40 opportunities on the road.
• When playing at home, the Thunder eclipse the total 59.5% of the time (25 of 42 games). They've hit the over in 47.5% of road games (19 of 40 contests).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, Minnesota has a lower winning percentage at home (.415, 17-23-1 record) than away (.537, 22-19-0).
• Looking at the over/under, Timberwolves games have finished over 25 of 41 times at home (61%), and 20 of 41 away (48.8%).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's numbers on the season are 32.7 points, 5 boards and 6.4 assists per contest, shooting 51.9% from the field and 37.5% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.1 made treys.
• Jalen Williams' numbers on the season are 21.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists per contest, shooting 48.4% from the floor and 36.5% from downtown, with an average of 1.8 made treys.
• Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 11.2 points, 10.7 rebounds and 3.8 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 1.1 blocked shots.
• Aaron Wiggins' numbers on the season are 12 points, 3.9 boards and 1.8 assists per contest, shooting 48.8% from the floor and 38.3% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.7 made 3-pointers.
• Luguentz Dort is averaging 10.1 points, 1.6 assists and 4.1 boards.

Timberwolves Leaders

• Per game, Anthony Edwards gets the Timberwolves 27.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.6 blocks.
• The Timberwolves are getting 18.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game from Julius Randle.
• Rudy Gobert averages 12 points, 10.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists. He is sinking 66.9% of his shots from the field (third in NBA).
• Per game, Naz Reid gives the Timberwolves 14.2 points, 6 boards and 2.3 assists, plus 0.7 steals and 0.9 blocks.
• Jaden McDaniels' numbers on the season are 12.2 points, 5.7 boards and 2 assists per contest. He is making 47.7% of his shots from the field and 33% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.2 treys.

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