Red Sox vs Twins Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 4

Odds updated as of 1:11 p.m.

The Sunday schedule in MLB includes a matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Minnesota Twins.

Here's what you need to know before checking out today's MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Red Sox vs Twins Game Info

• Boston Red Sox (18-17) vs. Minnesota Twins (14-20)
• Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025
• Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
• Venue: Fenway Park -- Boston, Massachusetts
• Coverage: MLB Network, NESN, and MNNT

Red Sox vs Twins Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: BOS: (-198) | MIN: (+166)
• Spread: BOS: -1.5 (-102) | MIN: +1.5 (-118)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

Red Sox vs Twins Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Garrett Crochet (Red Sox) - 3-2, 2.05 ERA vs Chris Paddack (Twins) - 0-3, 5.60 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Red Sox will send Garrett Crochet (3-2) to the mound, while Chris Paddack (0-3) will get the nod for the Twins. When Crochet starts, his team is 4-3-0 against the spread this season. Crochet's team has won 71.4% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-2). The Twins have failed to cover all of the five games Paddack started that had a spread set by bookmakers. The Twins were the underdog on the moneyline for one Paddack start this season -- they lost.

Red Sox vs Twins Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Red Sox win (54.6%)

Red Sox vs Twins Moneyline

• Minnesota is the underdog, +166 on the moneyline, while Boston is a -198 favorite at home.

Red Sox vs Twins Spread

• The Twins are at the Red Sox, and are +1.5 on the runline. The Twins are -102 to cover the spread, and the Red Sox are -118.

Red Sox vs Twins Over/Under

• The Red Sox-Twins game on May 4 has been given an over/under of 8.5 runs. The over is set at -115 and the under at -105.

Bet on Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins on FanDuel today!

Red Sox vs Twins Betting Trends

• The Red Sox have come away with 15 wins in the 28 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• This season Boston has been victorious four times in six chances when named as a favorite of at least -198 on the moneyline.
• Contests with the Red Sox have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 16 of 35 chances this season.
• The Red Sox have posted a record of 18-17-0 against the spread this season.
• The Twins are 2-7 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 22.2% of those games).
• Minnesota has played as a moneyline underdog of +166 or longer in only one game this season, which it lost.
• The Twins have played in 33 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 11 times (11-19-3).
• The Twins have put together a 15-18-0 record ATS this season.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Alexander Bregman has 44 hits to go with a slugging percentage of .596, both of which are tops among Boston hitters this season. He has a .324 batting average and an on-base percentage of .400.
• Among all qualifying hitters in MLB, his batting average ranks eighth, his on-base percentage ranks 10th, and he is sixth in slugging.
• Jarren Duran is batting .280 with nine doubles, four triples, two home runs and 10 walks, while slugging .433 with an on-base percentage of .331.
• Among qualifiers, he is 38th in batting average, 70th in on-base percentage and 67th in slugging percentage.
• Duran takes a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .362 with four doubles, two triples, a home run, two walks and eight RBI.
• Rafael Devers is batting .256 with a .451 slugging percentage and 23 RBI this year.
• Devers heads into this game with eight games in a row with at least one hit. In his last 10 games he is batting .357 with four doubles, three home runs, five walks and 10 RBI.
• Wilyer Abreu is batting .262 with a .383 OBP and 21 RBI for Boston this season.

Twins Player Leaders

• Ty France has put up a .338 on-base percentage and a .397 slugging percentage, both team-best numbers for the Twins. He's batting .264.
• Including all qualifying hitters in MLB, his batting average places him 65th, his on-base percentage ranks 65th, and he is 95th in slugging.
• Byron Buxton has collected 32 hits while slugging .475. Both pace his team. He has a batting average of .262 with an on-base percentage of .298.
• He is currently 67th in batting average, 116th in on-base percentage and 40th in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters.
• Trevor Larnach is batting .227 with two doubles, four home runs and 15 walks.
• Ryan Jeffers is hitting .271 with eight doubles, two home runs and 10 walks.

Red Sox vs Twins Head to Head

• 5/3/2025: 4-3 MIN (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 5/2/2025: 6-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 9/22/2024: 9-3 BOS (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 9/22/2024: 8-1 BOS (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
• 9/20/2024: 4-2 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 5/5/2024: 9-2 BOS (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -184, Underdog Moneyline: +154)
• 5/4/2024: 3-1 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -178, Underdog Moneyline: +150)
• 5/3/2024: 5-2 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
• 6/22/2023: 6-0 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 6/21/2023: 5-4 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -122, Underdog Moneyline: +104)

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