The No. 1 seed North Carolina Tar Heels (25-6, 17-3 ACC) will take the court in the ACC tournament against the No. 9 seed Florida State Seminoles (17-15, 10-10 ACC), Thursday at 12:00 PM ET live on ESPN.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

North Carolina vs. Florida State Game Info and Odds

• Game Day: Thursday, March 14, 2024
• Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Arena: Capital One Arena

North Carolina vs. Florida State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: North Carolina win (76%)

North Carolina is a 10.5-point favorite against Florida State on Thursday and the over/under has been set at 153.5 points. Below are some betting insights and trends if you are planning on making a wager on the outing.

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North Carolina vs. Florida State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• North Carolina has put together an 18-13-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Florida State has covered 16 times in 32 games with a spread this season.
• Florida State covers the spread when it is a 10.5-point underdog or more 100% of the time. That's more often than North Carolina covers as a favorite of 10.5 or more (50%).
• When playing at home, the Tar Heels have a worse record against the spread (8-7-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (7-3-0).
• The Seminoles' winning percentage against the spread at home is .471 (8-9-0). Away, it is .455 (5-6-0).
• North Carolina has beaten the spread 12 times in 20 conference games.
• Florida State has covered the spread 12 times in 21 ACC games.

North Carolina vs. Florida State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• North Carolina has been the moneyline favorite in 23 games this season and has come away with the win 20 times (87%) in those contests.
• The Tar Heels have yet to lose in nine games when named as moneyline favorite of -630 or better.
• Florida State is 6-9 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 40% of those games).
• The Seminoles have played as a moneyline underdog of +450 or longer in just one game this season, which they lost.
• North Carolina has an implied victory probability of 86.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

North Carolina vs. Florida State Head-to-Head Comparison

• North Carolina is outscoring opponents by 11.5 points per game with a +358 scoring differential overall. It puts up 81.6 points per game (22nd in college basketball) and allows 70.1 per contest (119th in college basketball).
• RJ Davis' team-leading 21.1 points per game ranks 13th in college basketball.
• Florida State puts up 76.8 points per game (88th in college basketball) while allowing 75.8 per outing (287th in college basketball). It has a +33 scoring differential.
• Florida State's leading scorer, Jamir Watkins, ranks 215th in the nation, averaging 15.7 points per game.
• The Tar Heels win the rebound battle by an average of 6.7 boards. They are recording 40.9 rebounds per game (ninth in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 34.2 per outing.
• Armando Bacot tops the Tar Heels with 10.1 rebounds per game (14th in college basketball action).
• The Seminoles pull down 33.7 rebounds per game (278th in college basketball) while allowing 36.5 per outing to opponents. They are outrebounded by 2.8 boards per game.
• Watkins leads the Seminoles with 6.1 rebounds per game (327th in college basketball).
• North Carolina's 101.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 45th in college basketball, and the 87.2 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 38th in college basketball.
• The Seminoles' 94.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 180th in college basketball, and the 93.5 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 201st in college basketball.

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