NLCS Betting Guide: Diamondbacks at Phillies, Game 7

Baseball has you covered if you want a large inventory of options to bet.

From moneylines to run totals to first-five-inning wagers, we have plenty of ways to bet the long, arduous MLB schedule daily. Outlooks can be vastly different due to starting pitchers, and a wealth of advanced stats can let us know if an individual pitcher, a bullpen, or a team is due for positive -- or negative -- regression.

Using numberFire's projections as a guide, which MLB odds from FanDuel Sportsbook are most appealing today?

Note: Lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check here to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies

Under 8.0 Runs (-106)

For as fun as Game 7 of the ALCS was last night, I'm not expecting nearly as many fireworks in the NLCS's Game 7 tonight.

The Philadelphia Phillies and Arizona Diamondbacks combined for just three runs when Ranger Suarez and Brandon Pfaadt faced off in Game 3. With the two rematching tonight, expect more of the same.

Both pitchers have been lights-out this postseason. Suarez has allowed just a single run and only seven hits across 14.0 innings of work while Pfaadt hasn't given up a run since Game 1 of the NL Wild Card.

That recent success isn't out of nowhere, either. Suarez has now given up just four runs in 28.2 postseason innings dating back to last season. He was up and down during the regular season but will be aided by a Diamondbacks lineup that was bottom-10 in wOBA (.300), ISO (.130), and wRC+ (86) against lefties over the second half of the season.

The rookie Pfaadt doesn't have nearly as much experience, but he pitched to a 4.06 xFIP from the All-Star break onward. He doesn't have nearly as good of a matchup -- the Phillies have crushed righties all season -- but looked sharp against them in Game 3, allowing just 2 base runners and inducing 13 swinging-stikes (tied for his third-most all season) across 5.2 innings of work.

However, given that it's a Game 7, we're likely to see both teams empty their bullpens. On paper, that favors Philly. Their bullpen posted the fourth-lowest ERA (3.31) over the second half of the year, compared to Arizona's which ranked 20th (4.49).

There's a good chance we see both of these teams' aces come in for relief, too. Neither Zac Gallen nor Zack Wheeler have pitched in relief before, but they haven't thrown since Friday and could each throw anywhere from 25-40 pitches.

It doesn't hurt to have some trends on our side here. Both Arizona (76-90-6) and Philly (79-81-14) have had their games gone under more often than not this season. That's continued into this series with three of the six games going under 8.0 runs.

Citizen's Bank Park has seen more than its fair share of low-scoring games over the last two postseasons. Dating back to last October, teams have combined for an average of 8.0 runs per game. That's inflated by a few outlier performances, too, as Philly home playoff games have pushed or gone under 8.0 runs 10 of the last 15 times.

In general, recent Game 7s have not featured a ton of scoring -- last night's ACLS notwithstanding. Over the last 10 years, seven of the MLB's nine Game 7s have pushed or gone under 8.0 runs.

If you like the under, you could pair that with a few of Annie Nader's favorite player props and take advantage of FanDuel Sportsbook's 30% profit boost on any three-leg Same Game Parlay for Game 7.

Looking for more MLB betting opportunities? Check out all of the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.