Diamondbacks at Phillies: 3 MLB Player Prop Bets to Target for Game 7

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy baseball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Utilizing numberFire's projections as a guide, here are some MLB player props bets that look appealing via the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note that betting lines and numberFire's projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

MLB Prop Bets to Target

Trea Turner To Hit First Home Run (+800)

The Arizona Diamondbacks will take on the Philadelphia Phillies for a Game 7 thriller that will send one team to the World Series.

Brandon Pfaadt will take the mound for Arizona. He's been excellent so far in these playoffs, giving up three earned runs in 12.2 innings, including a five-plus inning scoreless bid in Game 3 against this Phillies team. However, I'm not quite ready to forget his regular season numbers, which included a 5.72 ERA, .278 opponent batting average, and whopping 2.06 HR/9 ratio.

Pfaadt could have his stuff again tonight just as he did in Game 3, but I think his numbers show he is more likely to miss spots than Ranger Suarez and the Phillies tonight -- especially when it comes to the long ball.

Suarez touts a 0.94 HR/9 ratio (19th in MLB), meaning he is a somewhat unserious candidate to give up home runs -- at least more unserious than Pfaadt, whose 2.06 HR/9 ratio is among the worst in the league. Only five starting pitchers fared worse in this regard.

Because of this, I'm a bit keen on targeting a Philly bat to hit the first four-bagger tonight, and I think Trea Turner is in a spot to do just that.

Turner is solid against right-handed pitchers, putting up a .282 BA, .472 SLG, and 115 wRC+ this season.

But to end the regular season, Turner went bonkers against this handedness, posting a .385 BA, .791 SLG, .226 wRC+, 42.9% fly-ball rate, and 27.3% HR/FB ratio in his final 100 plate appearances.

Further, he sees quite the drastic change when hitting at Citizens Bank Park as opposed to away games. At his home stadium this season, Turner maintained a .291 BA, .534 SLG, 133 wRC+, and 17.0% HR/FB ratio. For reference, his away game splits fell to a .242 BA, .387 SLG, 84 wRC+, and 9.7% HR/FB ratio.

Though he saw fewer at-bats at home this season than on the road, Turner still hit 17 home runs in Philly this season in opposition to his 9 road-game homers.

In terms of alternate home run candidates for Game 7, Bryce Harper is certainly up there with this handedness matchup, but Turner bats second in the Phils lineup right before Harper. Christian Walker also boasts an advantageous matchup tonight against Suarez, but the Phillies' pitcher has been too dominant in the postseason for me to side with an Arizona bat over a Philadelphia one.

Brandon Marsh To Record A Hit (-150)

Despite owning the third-best postseason batting average (.343) out all remaining players, Brandon Marsh has been getting no respect from the market; he has the highest odds out of all Philly batters to record a hit tonight.

This is even with Marsh having the matchup advantage against Pfaadt.

Marsh put up a .292 BA, .477 SLG, and 133 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers this season. In this postseason, he's gone 9 for 29, including 3 extra-base hits, against righties.

He's recorded at least one hit in his last eight straight games, including one against Pfaadt in Game 3. Marsh was one of two batters to get a hit against Pfaadt in that affair.

The -150 odds on this aren't the most exciting, but it seems to be more than a fair deal given the aforementioned statistics. If you're looking for lower odds, you can get Marsh To Record 2+ Bases (+185) or Marsh To Record An RBI (+230).

FanDuel Sportsbook is offering a profit boost on a Same Game Parlay for Game 7, so it may be worth pairing Marsh to get a hit with your other favorite props to enjoy what should be a very exciting game.

Ranger Suarez Over 3.5 Strikeouts (+128)

In Game 7s, pitching leashes couldn't be shorter.

Under these circumstances, I'd normally be hesitant to side with either starting pitcher given how calculated and cautious managers will proceed with their arms. But, Ranger Suarez is on the bump for the Phillies, and his playoff stats show that he could be the most reliable under-pressure performer on either team.

In his postseason career (which spans the last two seasons), Suarez has posted a stat line of 28.2 innings, 3 earned runs, and 26 strikeouts. The fact that he has maintained a 0.94 ERA through eight postseason appearences is enough to give me faith that we will see Suarez for a typical length (around five innings) tonight, which is great news for the over on this prop.

Suarez has punched out at least four batters in 21 out of his 25 outings this season, meaning, historically, he clears this prop 84.0% of the time.

He's pitched three games against Arizona this season (including Game 3), putting up a total stat line of 17.1 innings, 5 earned runs, and 19 Ks.

Not only has Suarez reached the over on this prop in all three game against the Diamondbacks this season, but he's also done it in 9 out of his last 10 games in general.

Plus, Arizona has been strikeout-prone in the playoffs, struggling with a 25.6% strikeout rate, which would have been the third-worst K-rate in the league during the regular season.

A Phillies starting pitcher has struck out at least four Diamondback batters in all but one game of this series; Suarez's numbers prove he has all the fixings to match his predecessors in Game 7.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.