NFL Week 9 Spread and Total Predictions for Every Game

In the NFL, you're never lacking in prediction models to try to give you an idea of what to expect in a given week, whether those models are for betting or other purposes.

Below, we're going to run through what my spread and total models say about Week 9's NFL games.

As a disclaimer, this is my own, personal betting model. I'll lay out which bets I'm willing to make based on it compared to FanDuel Sportsbook's NFL betting odds, but as always, you'll have to decide for yourself whether there's enough value for you to the plunge, as well.

The spread model is largely based on numberFire's Net Expected Points (NEP) model, which is their version of EPA. The totals model factors in things such as pace and wind speed, as well. Numbers are manually edited to reflect the players who are expected to play in a given game.

Without further ado, here's what I've got for this upcoming slate of games.

Last updated Sunday at 9:11 am Eastern.

NFL Week 9 Predictions

Ravens at Dolphins Prediction

Spread Prediction: Ravens -6.1

Total Prediction: 50.0

Betting Odds

Falcons at Patriots Prediction

Spread Prediction: Patriots -5.7

Total Prediction: 46.0

Betting Odds

Panthers at Packers Prediction

Spread Prediction: Packers -13.4

Total Prediction: 49.4

Betting Odds

Thoughts: Injury news this week for the Carolina Panthers has been better than expected with Bryce Young good to go and Taylor Moton questionable. Thus, I feel more confident in the over than I did early in the week, even with the wind now elevated.

Broncos at Texans Prediction

Spread Prediction: Texans -1.7

Total Prediction: 44.1

Betting Odds

Thoughts: I worry deeply about the Houston Texans against a pass rush this nasty, but it's two decent-enough offenses playing indoors. That's enough for me to take the over on such a low number.

Chargers at Titans Prediction

Spread Prediction: Chargers -9.9

Total Prediction: 45.0

Betting Odds

Bears at Bengals Prediction

Spread Prediction: Bears -1.4

Total Prediction: 45.7

Betting Odds

Thoughts: Both of these defenses are booty, but offensive efficiency is the main driver of my totals model, so I can't get anywhere near the 50s, personally. These teams have played in wacky games, and maybe that continues, but I do think the under is the proper play.

Colts at Steelers Prediction

Spread Prediction: Colts -2.7

Total Prediction: 51.1

Betting Odds

49ers at Giants Prediction

Spread Prediction: 49ers -0.7

Total Prediction: 46.0

Betting Odds

Thoughts: Showing value in the under now that we know Mac Jones will start, and it's value I'm willing to take.

Vikings at Lions Prediction

Spread Prediction: Lions -10.5

Total Prediction: 49.2

Betting Odds

Saints at Rams Prediction

Spread Prediction: Rams -13.0

Total Prediction: 49.4

Betting Odds

Thoughts: The New Orleans Saints' defense has largely struggled on the road, and they're facing a healthy Los Angeles Rams offense coming off a bye. I think the Rams can do enough alone to make the over a quality play.

Jaguars at Raiders Prediction

Spread Prediction: Jaguars -1.4

Total Prediction: 42.1

Betting Odds

Chiefs at Bills Prediction

Spread Prediction: Chiefs -1.0

Total Prediction: 54.2

Betting Odds

Seahawks at Commanders Prediction

Spread Prediction: Seahawks -1.4

Total Prediction: 47.8

Betting Odds

Cardinals at Cowboys Prediction

Spread Prediction: Cowboys -5.1

Total Prediction: 50.1

Betting Odds

Thoughts: Willing to bet the Dallas Cowboys -3 now that we know Jacoby Brissett will start for the Arizona Cardinals.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.