South Florida vs Wichita State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for AAC Tournament Championship

The No. 1 seed South Florida Bulls (24-8, 15-3 AAC) take on the No. 2 Wichita State Shockers (22-10, 13-5 AAC) in the championship game of the AAC tournament on Sunday at 3:15 p.m. ET. The winner claims an automatic berth into the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

South Florida vs. Wichita State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Sunday, March 15, 2026
• Game time: 3:15 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Birmingham, Alabama
• Arena: Legacy Arena at BJCC

Take a look at these betting insights and trends before you bet on Sunday's South Florida-Wichita State spread (South Florida -6.5) or total (150.5 points).

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South Florida vs. Wichita State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• South Florida has won 15 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 14 times.
• Wichita State is 20-10-0 ATS this year.
• South Florida covers the spread when it is a 6.5-point favorite or more 52.9% of the time. That's less often than Wichita State covers as an underdog of 6.5 or more (75%).
• Against the spread, the Bulls have performed worse at home, covering eight times in 14 home games, and seven times in 12 road games.
• Against the spread, the Shockers have been better at home (12-4-0) than away (7-4-0).
• South Florida's record against the spread in conference games is 9-8-0.
• Against the spread in AAC action, Wichita State is 12-6-0 this season.

South Florida vs. Wichita State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• South Florida has been victorious in 21, or 80.8%, of the 26 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Bulls have a mark of 15-3 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -295 or better on the moneyline.
• Wichita State has been the underdog on the moneyline 10 total times this season. Wichita State has gone 4-6 in those games.
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +235 or longer, the Shockers have a 1-3 record (winning only 25% of their games).
• South Florida has an implied victory probability of 74.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

South Florida vs. Wichita State Head-to-Head Comparison

• South Florida outscores opponents by 12.1 points per game (scoring 88.3 per game to rank eighth in college basketball while giving up 76.2 per outing to rank 242nd in college basketball) and has a +388 scoring differential overall.
• Wes Enis leads South Florida, recording 16.7 points per game (176th in the country).
• Wichita State outscores opponents by 7.9 points per game (posting 78.3 points per game, 113th in college basketball, and allowing 70.4 per contest, 83rd in college basketball) and has a +253 scoring differential.
• Kenyon Giles' team-leading 19.7 points per game rank him 41st in college basketball.
• The 37.8 rebounds per game the Bulls average rank fifth in the nation, and are 5.3 more than the 32.5 their opponents grab per contest.
• Izaiyah Nelson is 16th in college basketball play with 9.7 rebounds per game to lead the Bulls.
• The Shockers rank sixth in the nation at 37.6 rebounds per game. That's 8.5 more than the 29.1 their opponents average.
• Will Berg tops the Shockers with 8.4 rebounds per game (58th in college basketball).
• South Florida averages 102.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (74th in college basketball), and gives up 88.2 points per 100 possessions (38th in college basketball).
• The Shockers put up 98.7 points per 100 possessions (156th in college basketball), while giving up 88.7 points per 100 possessions (40th in college basketball).

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