Vanderbilt vs Arkansas College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for SEC Tournament Championship

The SEC champion will be crowned Sunday as the No. 4 seed Vanderbilt Commodores (26-7, 11-7 SEC) play the No. 3 Arkansas Razorbacks (25-8, 13-5 SEC) at 1 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Sunday, March 15, 2026
• Game time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Nashville, Tennessee
• Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Vanderbilt win (58.4%)

Read these betting trends and insights before you bet on Sunday's Vanderbilt-Arkansas spread (Vanderbilt -2.5) or total (164.5 points).

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Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Vanderbilt has covered 17 times in 32 chances against the spread this season.
• Arkansas has put together a 21-11-0 record against the spread this year.
• Vanderbilt (14-12) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 2.5 points or more this season (53.8%) than Arkansas (4-5) does as a 2.5+-point underdog (44.4%).
• The Commodores have covered the spread in the same percentage of home games as away games (50%). They have covered eight times in 16 games at home and six times in 12 games on the road.
• The Razorbacks' winning percentage against the spread at home is .706 (12-5-0). Away, it is .600 (6-4-0).
• Vanderbilt has covered the spread nine times in 19 conference games.
• Arkansas has 12 wins against the spread in 19 SEC games this year.

Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Vanderbilt has won in 18, or 81.8%, of the 22 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Commodores have a mark of 18-4 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -130 or better on the moneyline.
• Arkansas has been the underdog on the moneyline 10 total times this season. Arkansas has finished 3-7 in those games.
• In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +108 or longer, the Razorbacks have a 3-7 record (winning only 30% of their games).
• Vanderbilt has an implied victory probability of 56.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas Head-to-Head Comparison

• On offense, Vanderbilt was the 55th-ranked team in the nation (78.9 points per game) last season. Defensively, it was 249th (74.3 points conceded per game).
• With 31.2 rebounds per game and 31.9 rebounds allowed, Vanderbilt was 221st and 226th in the nation, respectively, last year.
• Last season Vanderbilt was ranked 158th in the nation in assists with 13.8 per game.
• With 9.6 turnovers committed per game and 13.4 turnovers forced last season, Vanderbilt was 40th and 40th in college basketball, respectively.
• Arkansas put up 76.8 points per game (95th-ranked in college basketball) last year, while surrendering 71.4 points per contest (156th-ranked).
• Arkansas ranked 156th in the country with 32.4 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, it ranked 257th with 32.3 rebounds allowed per contest.
• Arkansas ranked 124th in the country with 14.2 assists per game.
• Arkansas ranked 201st in the country with 11.3 turnovers per game last year. Meanwhile, it ranked 146th with 11.6 forced turnovers per contest.

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