Yale vs Pennsylvania College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Ivy League Tournament Championship

The top-seeded Yale Bulldogs (24-5, 11-3 Ivy League) will meet the No. 3 seed Pennsylvania Quakers (17-11, 9-5 Ivy League) in the Ivy League championship game with an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament up for grabs. The matchup on Sunday at Newman Arena starts at 12 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Yale vs. Pennsylvania Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Sunday, March 15, 2026
• Game time: 12 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Ithaca, New York
• Arena: Newman Arena

Yale vs. Pennsylvania Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Yale win (72.2%)

Take a look at the betting trends and insights below before placing a wager on Sunday's Yale-Pennsylvania spread (Yale -8.5) or total (141.5 points).

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Yale vs. Pennsylvania: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Yale has won 12 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 15 times.
• Pennsylvania has compiled a 17-9-0 record against the spread this season.
• Yale covers the spread when it is an 8.5-point favorite or more 42.9% of the time. That's less often than Pennsylvania covers as an underdog of 8.5 or more (60%).
• The Bulldogs have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered four times in 10 games when playing at home, and they've covered five times in 12 games when playing on the road.
• The Quakers have been better against the spread away (9-3-0) than at home (8-5-0) this season.
• Yale's record against the spread in conference play is 7-8-0.
• Against the spread in Ivy League play, Pennsylvania is 11-3-0 this season.

Yale vs. Pennsylvania: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Yale has been victorious in 21, or 84%, of the 25 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Bulldogs have a win-loss record of 12-2 when favored by -481 or better by bookmakers this year.
• Pennsylvania is 5-10 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 33.3% of those games).
• The Quakers have not yet won a game when entering as a moneyline underdog with odds of +360 or longer in five chances.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Yale has a 82.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Yale vs. Pennsylvania Head-to-Head Comparison

• Yale outscores opponents by 11.3 points per game (scoring 81.7 per game to rank 55th in college basketball while allowing 70.4 per contest to rank 83rd in college basketball) and has a +328 scoring differential overall.
• Nick Townsend's 16.4 points per game lead Yale and rank 189th in college basketball.
• Pennsylvania is outscoring opponents by 2.8 points per game, with a +77 scoring differential overall. It puts up 75.7 points per game (177th in college basketball) and allows 72.9 per contest (149th in college basketball).
• Ethan Roberts' 16.9 points per game leads Pennsylvania and ranks 160th in the country.
• The Bulldogs record 32.2 rebounds per game (166th in college basketball) while allowing 27.8 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 4.4 boards per game.
• Townsend paces the Bulldogs with 7.4 rebounds per game (112th in college basketball play).
• The 32.7 rebounds per game the Quakers accumulate rank 129th in college basketball. Their opponents collect 32.5.
• TJ Power leads the team with 7.6 rebounds per game (102nd in college basketball).
• Yale ranks eighth in college basketball with 109 points scored per 100 possessions, and 140th in college basketball defensively with 93.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Quakers rank 215th in college basketball with 96.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 105th defensively with 92.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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