NASCAR Xfinity Series Betting Picks: The Loop 110

Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes@JimSannes
NASCAR Xfinity Series Betting Picks: The Loop 110

All the stars are coming to play for Saturday's NASCAR Xfinity Series race on the Chicago street course.

In addition to the regulars in Shane Van Gisbergen and AJ Allmendinger, you've got Ty Gibbs, Kyle Larson, and Joey Logano dipping their toes in the Xfinity sands, as well.

If you get a win against this field, you've earned it.

Because there are so many big names, the win odds in my pre-practice simulations are pretty flat. There's simply a glut at the top, preventing anybody from getting too high.

Here's how they look before practice Saturday morning.

Top 5
Shane Van Gisbergen12.5%33.5%48.7%
A.J. Allmendinger11.4%30.7%47.4%
Ty Gibbs10.9%28.9%44.3%
Kyle Larson9.0%26.5%41.4%
Joey Logano7.8%21.1%34.4%
Austin Hill6.5%18.7%30.4%
Cole Custer6.1%17.0%28.1%
View Full Table

Van Gisbergen enters as the favorite, but he's well short of his 36.4% implied odds at +175 in FanDuel Sportsbook's NASCAR Xfinity Series betting odds. It's not fun to be low on SVG, but with a lot of variance potentially in store here, I do think he's overvalued.

Of the five drivers mentioned at the top, one of them actually does come in above market. That's Joey Logano at +1800.

Logano is doing a one-off for AM Racing in place of Hailie Deegan. Deegan has struggled this year, which makes sense as she transitions from the Truck Series to Xfinity. The team isn't a backmarker, though.

Last year, with veteran Brett Moffitt in the car, AM Racing finished fourth in the Chicago street race and added top-12 finishes in Indy, Portland, and Sonoma. The team receives support from Stewart-Haas Racing, so they should have enough speed in the car to give Logano a shot.

Logano finished eighth in the Cup Series race at Chicago last year and is at least decent enough on road courses. It'll be a tall task, but I think AM Racing's finishes this year are allowing Logano to go a bit under the radar.

Two Xfinity Series regulars are also showing value in the same range: Sheldon Creed (+2000) and Austin Hill (+2500).

Creed has proven to be a good road-racer. He finished runner-up in Sonoma this year, and he had a fourth-place average running position in Portland. That's on top of a runner-up in Watkins Glen last year.

I don't have a ton of value on Creed. He's 5.4% for me, up from 4.8% implied. But I do think he's worth a look.

Hill is the bigger value between the two. He's 6.5% for me, up from 3.8% implied.

The results have been there for Hill on road courses, as well. He was runner-up in COTA -- a race that also included SVG, Allmendinger, Larson, and Gibbs -- and he has nine top-10s in 17 Xfinity road-course races.

Last year in Chicago, Hill had a third-place average running position and finished fifth. He's also more than aggressive enough to finish the job should the window be open late. Thus, even though I like Creed's talent plenty, I have a slight preference for Hill between the two.

New to FanDuel Sportsbook? You’ll receive $150 in Bonus Bets if you win your first bet of at least $5! See here for full terms and conditions. Learn about today’s other offers at FanDuel Sportsbook Promos.

Which drivers stand out to you for Saturday's race? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's latest NASCAR Xfinity Series betting odds to see the full menu of options.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.