NBA

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Western Finals Odds Prediction, Spread, Tip Off Time, Best Bets for May 28

Data Skrive
Data Skrive
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Western Finals Odds Prediction, Spread, Tip Off Time, Best Bets for May 28

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Game Info

  • Date: Tuesday, May 28, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center -- Dallas, Texas
  • Coverage: TNT and truTV

The Dallas Mavericks are slight 1.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals against the Minnesota Timberwolves at American Airlines Center on Tuesday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on TNT and truTV. The Mavericks hold a 3-0 series lead. The matchup has an over/under set at 211 points.

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

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Mavericks-1.5-110-110211-110-110-120+102

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction:

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

  • The Mavericks are 48-34-0 against the spread this season.
  • Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 40-40-2 this season.
  • This season, 37 of the Mavericks' games have gone over the point total.
  • Timberwolves games this year have gone over the total in 41 of 82 opportunities (50%).
  • In home games, Dallas has a worse record against the spread (21-20-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (27-14-0).
  • The Mavericks have gone over the total less consistently at home, hitting the over in 16 of 41 home matchups (39%). In road games, they have hit the over in 21 of 41 games (51.2%).
  • Minnesota's winning percentage against the spread at home is .439 (18-22-1). On the road, it is .537 (22-18-1).
  • In 2023-24 a lower percentage of the Timberwolves' games have finished above the over/under at home (46.3%, 19 of 41) compared to away (53.7%, 22 of 41).

Mavericks Leaders

  • Luka Doncic averages 33.9 points, 9.2 rebounds and 9.8 assists, shooting 48.7% from the field and 38.2% from beyond the arc, with 4.1 made treys per game (second in league).
  • Kyrie Irving is averaging 25.6 points, 5 boards and 5.2 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
  • Daniel Gafford is averaging 11 points, 7.6 boards and 1.6 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 2.1 blocked shots (sixth in league).
  • P.J. Washington is averaging 12.9 points, 1.9 assists and 5.6 boards.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr. is averaging 14.4 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.8 assists.

Timberwolves Leaders

  • Anthony Edwards averages 25.9 points for the Timberwolves, plus 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists.
  • The Timberwolves are receiving 14 points, 12.9 boards and 1.3 assists per game from Rudy Gobert.
  • The Timberwolves get 21.8 points per game from Karl-Anthony Towns, plus 8.3 rebounds and 3 assists.
  • Naz Reid's numbers on the season are 13.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game. He is sinking 47.7% of his shots from the floor and 41.4% from 3-point range, with an average of 2.1 triples.
  • Per game, Mike Conley gets the Timberwolves 11.4 points, 2.9 boards and 5.9 assists, plus 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocks.

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