Heat vs. Knicks Game 5 Betting Odds: Moneyline, Spread, Total, and Player Props

The Miami Heat have a 3-1 series lead over the New York Knicks entering Wednesday night's Game 5 of the Eastern Conference semifinals.

The Knicks’ season is on the line, and one more loss to the Heat will send them packing. Fortunately for the Knicks, they enter as slight favorites.

Game 5 tips off at 7:30 p.m. Eastern on TNT.

Here’s how the two teams stack up for Wednesday’s game in New York City.

Heat vs. Knicks Game 5 Betting Odds: Moneyline, Spread, and Total

• Moneyline:
  • Heat: +138
  • Knicks: -164
• Spread: Knicks - 3.5 (-110)
• Total: 209.5

Heat vs. Knicks Game 5 Projections

Win projections via numberFire.

• Win odds: The Knicks have a 75.7% chance of winning Game 5.

Heat vs. Knicks Game 5 Player Props: Total Points, and Double Double Odds

• Total Points:
  • Jimmy Butler: 27.5
  • Bam Adebayo: 17.5
  • Jalen Brunson: 25.5
  • Julius Randle: 22.5
  • RJ Barrett: 19.5
  • Mitchell Robinson: 6.5
  • Kevin Love: 8.5
  • Max Strus: 11.5
  • Gabe Vincent: 11.5
  • Caleb Martin: 8.5
  • Kyle Lowry: 10.5
• To Record a Double Double
  • Julius Randle: +110
  • Bam Adebayo: +145
  • Jimmy Butler: +330
  • Jalen Brunson: +410
  • Mitchell Robinson: +550
  • Kevin Love: +800
  • RJ Barrett: +1500
  • Caleb Martin: +1800
  • Kyle Lowry: +3600

Heat vs. Knicks Advanced Stats Breakdown

nERD via numberFire. Adjusted offensive/defensive ratings, pace, and shot distribution via DunksAndThrees.

• Heat:
  • nERD: 47.5 (22nd)
  • Adjusted Offensive Rating: 113.2 (25th)
  • Adjusted Defensive Rating: 113.4 (8th)
  • Pace: 96.3 (29th)
  • Shot Distribution and Efficiency:
    • Rim: 29.9% (29th) - 62.6% (20th)
    • Mid: 29.4% (24th) - 45.3% (7th)
    • 3PT: 40.8% (9th) - 34.4% (27th)
• Knicks:
  • nERD: 62.0 (5th)
  • Adjusted Offensive Rating: 117.7 (4th)
  • Adjusted Defensive Rating: 114.6 (19th)
  • Pace: 97.4 (26th)
  • Shot Distribution and Efficiency:
    • Rim: 34.4% (19th) - 62.6% (19th)
    • Mid: 25.7% (14th) - 44.2% (11th)
    • 3PT: 40.0% (10th) - 35.4% (19th)

Heat vs. Knicks Game 5 Analysis

The Heat were able to win both games of their homestand, bringing them to a 3-1 series lead over the Knicks.

Miami has found a way to bottle up Knicks All-Star Julius Randle, who is averaging 6.8 fewer points per game in this series (18.3) than he did over the regular season (25.1). They’ve also forced 1.5 more turnovers per game out of the Knicks’ star, which has certainly helped Miami's cause given how close most of the games have been so far; only one game in this series has been decided by double-digit points.

The Knicks will have to rebound after losing two in a row, and they can start by rebounding better.

In Games 3 and 4, the Heat out-rebounded the Knicks by an 11-board margin. The Knicks’ only win so far in the series came in Randle’s first game back from injury -- Game 2 -- in which they had a massive 50-34 lead over the Heat in rebounds. The Heat have countered Randle well in the two games since, and the Knicks will need to make an adjustment.

New York will also need better play off of the bench in Game 5 after their second unit scored just 10 points and finished with a combined -24 plus/minus as a unit in Game 4.

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.