NBA

FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks and Helper: Sunday 2/11/24

Matthew Lo
Matthew Lo@holla2mlo
FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks and Helper: Sunday 2/11/24

Since NBA DFS is easier to predict than baseball or football, it would likely get plenty of votes as the best sport to play on FanDuel. Basketball players usually stick to the same minutes and produce at roughly the same rate. Sounds easy, right? Trust me -- it's not!

As a result, NBA daily fantasy is highly reliant on a player's opportunity, so you'll need to ensure that you're up to date with key injuries. Our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- update throughout the day to reflect current news. You can also turn to numberFire for player news updates as well as a matchup heat map and lineup optimizer to help give you an edge.

On top of all that, here at FanDuel Research, we'll come at you each day with this NBA DFS primer, which breaks down some of the day's top plays at each position.

Let's dive into today's main slate on FanDuel.

Team
Opp
O/U
Spread
Implied Total
Injuries
MIABOS225.55.5110Butler OUT
BOSMIA225.5-5.5115.5Tillman, Springer OUT
SACOKC239.53.5118Vezenkov, Duarte OUT
OKCSAC239.5-3.5121.5Hayward OUT

Guards

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ($11,500): At his second highest salary in February, Oklahoma City's leading scorer is today's top option with a 49.6 fantasy projection versus a Sacramento Kings' defense giving up 49.7 FanDuel points per game to his position. In two prior meetings against the Kings, Gilgeous-Alexander has performed extremely well, averaging an eye-popping 38 real-life points and 62.8 FanDuel points on 26.0 shot attempts.

De'Aaron Fox ($9,100): In a middling spot against a Oklahoma City Thunder ranked 13th in FanDuel points (48.4) allowed per game to point guards, Fox is third overall in value with a 4.85 rating and a 44.1 fantasy projection. Sacramento's star destroyed the Thunder in December, recording 41 real-life points and 56.1 FanDuel points at a salary 8.0% higher than today's.

Jaylen Brown ($8,300): Since January 17th, Brown is averaging 1.12 FanDuel points per minute and a 24.2% usage rate while his salary has moved down 2.3%. The 27-year old is seventh overall in value with a 4.66 rating and a 38.7 fantasy projection versus a Miami Heat team allowing 41.2 FanDuel points per game to his position.

Jrue Holiday ($7,100): Despite a 2.8% salary bump, Boston's reliable veteran is first among guards in value with a 4.83 rating and a 34.3 fantasy projection.

Tyler Herro ($7,000): In 375 minutes with today's inactives including Jimmy Butler, Herro is averaging 1.03 FanDuel points per minute and a team-high 27.8% usage rate.

Terry Rozier ($6,900): Since Rozier has joined the Heat in January, the 29-year old has produced 0.93 FanDuel points per minute and a 21.8% usage rate while his salary has dropped by 10.3%. In 50 minutes with today's rotation, Rozier sees a boost in his production to 1.11 FanDuel points per minute and a 24.6% usage rate.

Malik Monk ($6,700): Even in a second unit role, Monk has provided underrated production in his last four games, averaging an efficient 1.32 FanDuel points per minute and 36.6 FanDuel points per contest.

Josh Giddey ($6,400): At his lowest salary since January 5th, Giddey is fifth among guards in value with a 4.41 rating and a 28.2 fantasy projection. In his last nine games, Giddey has produced 26.4 FanDuel points per game while logging 25.0 minutes per appearance.

Kevin Huerter ($5,400): The Kings' shooting guard will likely be a popular option after a 5.2% decrease in his salary, ranking fourth overall in value with a 4.82 rating and a 26.0 fantasy projection.

Josh Richardson ($4,800): In his last six contests, Richardson has provided sneaky value, averaging 23.3 FanDuel points per appearance while seeing 27.0 minutes per game.

Forwards

Domantas Sabonis ($10,500): Sacramento's versatile big man is second overall with a 46.5 fantasty projection in a great spot versus a Thunder unit giving up 55.1 FanDuel points per game to his position. Since February 2nd, Sabonis has been on fire, producing 51.8 FanDuel points per contest and 1.44 FanDuel points per minute.

Jayson Tatum ($10,100): Despite a tough matchup against a Miami defense ranked ninth in FanDuel points (45.5) allowed per game to power forwards, Tatum is third overall with a 44.1 fantasy projection. In two prior encounters, Boston's All-Star has averaged 24 real-life points and 40.3 FanDuel points per contest on 18.5 shot attempts.

Kristaps Porzingis ($8,600): After producing 1.39 FanDuel points per minute in his last five appearances, Porzingis' salary has increased by 4.8% to his highest point since January 15th.

Jalen Williams ($7,600): Even at his second highest salary this month, "J-Dub" deserves serious consideration versus a Sacramento defense allowing 47.5 FanDuel point per game to his position.

Keegan Murray ($6,000): Sacramento's second-year forward is today's top value option with a 4.9 rating and a 29.4 fantasy projection after his salary decreased by 4.7% to his lowest point this month.

Caleb Martin ($5,000): In his last five games despite starting in just two of his appearances, Martin has still averaged 27.3 minutes per contest and 0.70 FanDuel points per minute.

Harrison Barnes ($4,900): Even with some inconsistent performances in his last ten games, the Kings' veteran has recorded 27.3 FanDuel points per contest and 0.83 FanDuel points per minute.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. ($4,700): With Jimmy Butler ruled out, Miami's rookie should an increased role, producing 0.83 FanDuel points per minute and a 20.2 % usage rate with today's inactives.

Centers

Chet Holmgren ($8,500): The 21-year old has emerged in his last five contests, accounting for 1.46 FanDuel points per minute and 43.4 FanDuel points per game while his salary has increased by 6.2%.

Bam Adebayo ($8,200): At his lowest salary since November 8th, Adebayo could provide underrated return in a matchup he has averaged 23.0 real-life points and 39.2 real-life points in two prior meetings. In 533 minutes with today's inactives, Miami's center is averaging 1.21 FanDuel points per minute and a 26.1% usage rate.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.