Euro 2024 Slovenia vs. Serbia: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Brandon Gdula
Brandon Gdula@gdula13
Euro 2024 Slovenia vs. Serbia: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Euro 2024 is underway and is starting to take shape.

On Thursday, June 20th, Slovenia (57th in the FIFA rankings) face off with Serbia (33rd).

What should we expect from this matchup?

All Euro 2024 odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Euro 2024 Slovenia vs. Serbia: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Slovenia vs. Serbia Odds

  • Slovenia to Win: +400
  • Serbia to Win: -130
  • Draw: +240
  • Over 2.5 Goal Odds: -102
  • Under 2.5 Goal Odds: -120

Slovenia vs. Serbia Analysis

Slovenia drew 1-1 against Denmark in their opening match in Group C but lost in expected goals 1.7 to 1.1. They couldn't limit Denmark's passing (87% accuracy rate) and were dominated in possession (67% to 33%).

Serbia played England to a 0-1 loss. While they let up only 0.5 expected goals, they generated just 0.2 of their own.

Notably, they kept possession close (47% to 53%) and had more shots (6 to 5) but not as many on target (1 to 3).

Slovenia vs. Serbia Prediction

Opta's model sees Serbia as the much better side here and as 50.0% likely to win with a 26.4% draw chance.

MasseyRatings give Serbia a 41% win chance with a 29% of a draw.

While both models like Serbia more, the +400 odds (20.0% implied win odds) are interesting for a Slovenia side opened up with a draw.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.