Mets vs Phillies Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Sept. 17

Odds updated as of 2:12 a.m.
The Thursday slate in MLB includes a matchup between the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies.
Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the vital info about this matchup.
Mets vs Phillies Game Info
- New York Mets (69-83) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (84-68)
- Date: Thursday, September 17, 2026
- Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Venue: Citi Field -- Queens, New York
- Coverage: FOX
Mets vs Phillies Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: NYM: (-142) | PHI: (+120)
- Spread: NYM: -1.5 (+150) | PHI: +1.5 (-182)
- Total: 8.5 -- Over: (+104) | Under: (-128)
Mets vs Phillies Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Nolan McLean (Mets) - 11-9, 3.24 ERA vs Aaron Nola (Phillies) - 6-10, 4.69 ERA
The probable starters are Nolan McLean (11-9) for the Mets and Aaron Nola (6-10) for the Phillies. When McLean starts, his team is 12-13-0 against the spread this season. McLean's team has been victorious in 52.6% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 10-9. The Phillies have a 10-19-0 record against the spread in Nola's starts. The Phillies have been the moneyline underdog in 10 of Nola's starts this season, and they went 4-6 in those matchups.
Mets vs Phillies Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mets win (59.6%)
Mets vs Phillies Moneyline
- Looking at the moneyline for Phillies-Mets, Philadelphia is the underdog at +120, and New York is -142 playing at home.
Mets vs Phillies Spread
- The Phillies are +1.5 on the spread (-182 to cover), and New York is +150 to cover the runline.
Mets vs Phillies Over/Under
- The over/under for the Mets versus Phillies game on Sept. 17 has been set at 8.5, with +104 odds on the over and -128 odds on the under.
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Mets vs Phillies Betting Trends
- The Mets have come away with 38 wins in the 73 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
- This season New York has come away with a win 15 times in 33 chances when named as a favorite of at least -142 on the moneyline.
- The Mets and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 68 of their 148 opportunities.
- The Mets are 68-80-0 against the spread in their 148 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Phillies have won 29.4% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (10-24).
- Philadelphia has a record of 1-6 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer (14.3%).
- The Phillies have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 147 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 70 of those games (70-72-5).
- The Phillies have a 62-85-0 record against the spread this season (covering 42.2% of the time).
Mets Player Leaders
- Juan Soto has 10 doubles, two triples, 25 home runs and 71 walks while hitting .271. He has an on-base percentage of .389 and a slugging percentage of .518.
- Bo Bichette has hit 16 homers this season while driving in 74 runs. He's batting .263 this season and slugging .391 with an on-base percentage of .313.
- He is 58th in batting average, 102nd in on-base percentage and 102nd in slugging in the major leagues.
- Bichette has picked up at least one hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .217 with an RBI.
- Carson Benge leads his team in OBP (.333) and total hits (150) this season.
- Francisco Lindor is batting .229 with a .314 OBP and 47 RBI for New York this season.
- Lindor brings a two-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .238 with a double, two home runs, three walks and five RBIs.
Phillies Player Leaders
- Bryce Harper has accumulated a team-best .384 on-base percentage. He's batting .270 and slugging .495.
- He is 44th in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage and 16th in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters in the majors.
- Luis Arraez leads his team with a .430 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .316 with an on-base percentage of .352.
- Including all qualifying players, he is first in batting average, 40th in on-base percentage and 64th in slugging percentage.
- Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies with 130 hits.
- Alec Bohm is batting .251 with 28 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 44 walks.
Mets vs Phillies Head to Head
- 7/19/2026: 6-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 7/18/2026: 6-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -168, Underdog Moneyline: +142)
- 7/16/2026: 4-1 NYM (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
- 6/28/2026: 5-4 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
- 6/27/2026: 6-2 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 6/26/2026: 2-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
- 6/21/2026: 6-2 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -188, Underdog Moneyline: +158)
- 6/20/2026: 15-3 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
- 6/18/2026: 6-4 NYM (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
- 9/11/2025: 6-4 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
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