Golf

Charles Schwab Challenge: Betting Picks and Key Stats

Zack Bussiere
Zack Bussiere@ZackBussiere
Charles Schwab Challenge: Betting Picks and Key Stats

Xander Schauffele captured his first Major with a birdie on 18 at the PGA Championship on Sunday -- a fitting end to another thrilling tournament at Valhalla Golf Club.

Now, the PGA Tour returns to Texas for the Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial Country Club.

How should you bet this week's event?

Here's all you need to know.

All golf odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Charles Schwab Challenge Info

  • Recent Winning Scores: -8, -9, -14, -15, -13
  • Recent Cut Lines: +1, +1, +1, E, +2

Colonial Country Club Course Info

All course data from GCSAA unless otherwise noted.

  • Par: 70
  • Distance: 7,289 yards (around 174 yards longer than the average par 70)
  • Average Fairway Width: 27.6 yards (7th of 86 courses)
  • Average Green Size: 5,000 square feet (small)
  • Green Type: Bentgrass
  • Stimpmeter: 12-13

Colonial Country Club Course Key Stats

Charles Schwab Challenge Betting Picks

These picks stand out relative to their FanDuel Sportsbook golf betting odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. All stats cited below originate at datagolf and reference ranks relative to the field over the past 50 rounds unless otherwise noted.

Scottie Scheffler

At +280 to win, Scheffler's implied odds sit at 26.3%. Those are incredibly short odds, but his play deserves it. He if first in the field in every strokes gained category except putting. More impressive than his rank is the margin of his lead in those categories. Against the next closest golfer in the field, Scheffler has a significant edge in strokes gained: around the greens (+0.27), strokes gained: approach (+0.25), strokes gained: off the tee (+0.28), and strokes gained: tee to green (+1.60). Add it all up, and his margin in total strokes gained over the next closest golfer, Collin Morikawa, is an absolutely astounding +1.62 strokes per round. With such a large edge over the field, I like him at +1200 to lead after Round 1.

Collin Morikawa

Leaning on recent form, Collin Morikawa is a tier above everyone but Scheffler this week. Relative to their odds, I like the outlook for the two favorites this week more than the next groups of golfers behind them. Morikawa's putter let him down on Sunday at the PGA Championship; he lost -3.63 strokes, third-worst for the round and the sixth-worst performance of the event. Leading into the weekend, Morikawa had been putting well. He gained at least +0.91 strokes putting per round in his last three events, +2.65 strokes in Round 1 of the PGA Championship and +1.09 strokes in Round 2. I expect a bounce back this week.

The rest of Morikawa's game has been excellent since the 2024 Masters. He is 2nd in the field in total strokes gained, 7th in strokes gained: off the tee, and 10th in strokes gained: around the green. Colonial's emphasis on driving accuracy, not distance, is a major plus for Morikawa, who is 77th in the field in distance but 10th in accuracy.

Harris English

Harris English is coming off a T18 finish at the PGA Championship where he finished fourth in the field in strokes gained: putting (+1.90 strokes per round) and 17th in strokes gained: approach (+1.02 strokes per round). His play off the tee let him down, but he is in the middle of the best strokes gained: off the tee season of his career (+0.31 strokes gained per round) and is 28th in the field in driving accuracy. He struggled around the greens at Valhalla (-0.54 strokes) and Quail Hollow (-0.06 strokes), but before that he gained strokes around the green in nine consecutive events. He is seventh in the field in total strokes gained and finished T12 at this event last season.

Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Christiaan Bezuidenhout's missed cut at the PGA Championship ended a run of solid results that started at THE PLAYERS Championship. In 17 starts this season, he has 9 top 20s and 3 top-five finishes. He is second in the field in strokes gained: putting, fourth in total strokes gained, and ninth in strokes gained: approach. He is 51st in strokes gained: around the greens but has gained strokes in that category in seven consecutive events. His play off the tee is a concern, but he is more accurate (66th) than long (116th), and his lack of distance shouldn't hurt him at Colonial this week. He finished T15 here in 2022 and T21 in 2023.

Si Woo Kim

Si Woo Kim missed the cut at the PGA Championship due to his struggles putting and his play off the tee. Kim lacks distance (93rd) but is incredibly accurate (2nd). That lack of distance made Valhalla a difficult course for him; Colonial should play to his strengths. Kim's putting is always a concern, and he has lost strokes with the flat stick every season of his career since 2016, but everything else in his game is solid. He ranks inside the top 11 in every other strokes gained category and is 5th in the field in total strokes gained (+1.37 per round).

On total strokes gained, he has a large edge of the other golfers in these markets. For Top South Korean -- Sungjae Im (30th; +0.66), Tom Kim (37th; +0.51), S.H. Kim (51st, +0.23), K.H. Lee (75th, -0.01) -- he has a margin of +0.71 on the next closest golfer. For Top Asian, which also includes -- Ryo Hisatsune (38th, +0.50), Kevin Yu (53rd, +0.22), C.T. Pan (89th, -0.22), and Carl Yuan (106th, -0.55) -- that margin remains the same.

Before his missed cut last week, Kim had five top-20 finishes, including a T6 at THE PLAYERS Championship, in his last six events. He has finished T25 or better in 9 of his 14 starts this season.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.