ALCS Betting Picks, Player Props, and DFS Plays to Target: Rangers at Astros (Game 6)

Baseball has you covered if you want a large inventory of options to bet.

From moneylines to run totals to first-five-inning wagers, we have plenty of ways to bet the long, arduous MLB schedule daily. Outlooks can be vastly different due to starting pitchers, and a wealth of advanced stats can let us know if an individual pitcher, a bullpen, or a team is due for positive -- or negative -- regression.

Using numberFire's projections as a guide, which MLB odds from FanDuel Sportsbook are most appealing today?

Note: Lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check here to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

Rangers at Astros

Texas Rangers First Five Innings Moneyline (+102)

In rematch of Game 2's pitching matchup, the Rangers will try to haul Houston's recent momentum and avoid elimination with their best pitcher on the mound in Nathan Eovaldi.

Through three playoff starts, the Rangers' right-hander has been in the best form of his season, recording an impressive 2.06 expected Fielding Independent Pitching rating (xFIP) and quality starts in all of his appearances including his winning effort (6 innings, 3 earned runs) in Game 2 while his overall playoff resume displays similar metrics with a 3.10 xFIP and a 2.97 Skill Interactive Earned Run Average.

On the opposing side, Houston's Framber Valdez has recently hit a rough spot this postseason, allowing nine earned runs over 6.1 playoff innings.

While some positive regression is heading Valdez's way when observing several of his expected metrics including a 3.44 xFIP, there is still a clear edge towards Eovaldi as the better overall pitching option and the Rangers' moneyline during the first five innings when both starters are likely to be on the mound at a mispriced 49.5.% implied percentage.

Player Props

Framber Valdez Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-122)

Despite recent concerns towards Valdez's postseason form and his 11.57 earned run average in two starts, the Astros' left-hander has exceeded this number in both of his appearances during Houston's playoff run.

With a 27.5% K-rate during this time period, if Valdez is able to sustain this type of production in a favorable matchup against five Rangers' hitters with K-rates ranging between 20.9% to 25.8%, the Houston southpaw should have plenty of opportunities to exceed his number while numberFire's models also further supports this prediction with a healthy mark over 4.5 with 6.2 expected strikeouts.

Jose Altuve To Record 2+ Bases (-105)

Houston's second baseman looks like he has recently found his groove, reaching this number in three of his last contests while also producing impressive batted ball metrics this series including a .331 expected average, four extra base hits, and an impressive 55% hard hard rate.

In addition to his recent good form, Altuve has displayed an ability to produce versus his specific opponent throughout his career in a 41 at-bat sample size, recording a .270 expected average and seven extra base hits including five home runs against Eovaldi.

FanDuel Daily Fantasy Plays

For those unfamiliar with the single-game daily fantasy baseball format, scoring is identical to its full roster cousin, except you only roster hitters, and lineups consist of five flex spots.

The one twist? One of the five roster spots is your designated "MVP," who receives 2-times his total fantasy points, along with a "STAR" slot that gets 1.5-times the points.

Naturally, it's crucial that you choose your MVP and STAR carefully if you want to be at the top of the leaderboards when it's all said and done.

On that note, let's highlight some of the top options for today's FanDuel single-game slate.

At the Top

Corey Seager ($9,500): Despite producing a middling .242 expected average this series, Seager still ranks second overll with a 13.3 fantasy projection. Even in a lefty versus lefty matchup, Seager has performed solid production against Framber Valdez in 24 career at-bats, recording a .287 expected average and a .325 expected weighted on-base average.

Yordan Alvarez ($9,000): Ranking first overall with a 13.5 fantasy projection, Houston's slugger has clearly been the best hitter on his team through the postseason, accounting for an eye-popping .341 expected average, six home runs, and a 60% hard hit rate.

Jose Altuve ($8,500): After hitting a clutch home run to break the Rangers' back in the ninth inning in Game 5, Houston's second baseman ranks third among his team with a 12.0 fantasy projection. Altuve is arguably due for more production when comparing his current .273 average with his expected .331 average.

In the Middle

Adolis Garcia ($8,000): The Rangers' controversial slugger has continued to rake against the Astros, accounting for a .270 expected average, four barrels, and a 44% hard hit rate in 18 at-bats.

Kyle Tucker ($7,500): Despite recording a poor .167 average in his last 18 at-bats, Tucker's production is due for a huge change in luck when observing his .305 expected average and 44% hard hit rate.

Josh Jung ($7,000): The 25-year old has been a beast versus Houston pitching this series, producing a .267 expected average, a 11% home run percentage, and an eye-popping 64% barrel rate.

At the Bottom

Alex Bregman ($6,500): Houston's third baseman ranks second among his team with a 12.0 fantasy projection and in value with a 1.84 rating.

Mitch Garver ($6,500): The Rangers' veteran catcher leads his team in value with a 1.71 rating and a 11.1 fantasy projection. Garver has mashed left-handed pitching throughout his career, accounting for a 139 Runs Created Plus rating (39% above average) and a .375 weighted on-base average.

Jose Abreu ($5,500): In 19 at-bats during the American League Championship series, Houston's veteran has produced solid batted ball metrics, recording a .270 expected average and a 46% hard hit rate.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.