Alabama State vs Saint Francis (PA) Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Four

The Alabama State Hornets (19-15) and the Saint Francis (PA) Red Flash (16-17) meet with a place in the Round of 64 of the NCAA Tournament on the line on Tuesday at UD Arena, beginning at 6:40 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Alabama State vs. Saint Francis (PA) Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, March 18, 2025
• Game time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• TV channel: truTV
• Location: Dayton, Ohio
• Arena: UD Arena

Alabama State vs. Saint Francis (PA) Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Alabama State win (60.5%)

Before you wager on Tuesday's Alabama State-Saint Francis (PA) spread (Alabama State -3.5) or total (137.5 points), see the betting trends and insights below.

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Alabama State vs. Saint Francis (PA): ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Alabama State has covered 14 times in 32 chances against the spread this season.
• Saint Francis (PA) is 15-13-0 ATS this year.
• Alabama State (5-9) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 3.5 points or more this season (35.7%) than Saint Francis (PA) (9-9) does as a 3.5+-point underdog (50%).
• The Hornets have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered four times in 10 games when playing at home, and they've covered seven times in 15 games on the road.
• This year, the Red Flash are 5-5-0 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). Away, they are 10-8-0 ATS (.556).

Alabama State vs. Saint Francis (PA): Moneyline Betting Stats

• Alabama State has won in 13, or 72.2%, of the 18 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Hornets have a win-loss record of 9-4 when favored by -176 or better by sportsbooks this year.
• Saint Francis (PA) has gone 6-14 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 30% of those games).
• In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +148 or longer, the Red Flash have a record of 4-11 (26.7%).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Alabama State has a 63.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Alabama State vs. Saint Francis (PA) Head-to-Head Comparison

• Alabama State averages 73.4 points per game (194th in college basketball) while giving up 72.2 per outing (194th in college basketball). It has a +41 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 1.2 points per game.
• CJ Hines' team-leading 14.4 points per game ranks 337th in the nation.
• Saint Francis (PA) scores 71.1 points per game (257th in college basketball) and allows 71.6 (170th in college basketball) for a -16 scoring differential overall.
• Saint Francis (PA)'s leading scorer, Riley Parker, ranks 462nd in the nation, averaging 13.4 points per game.
• The 32.4 rebounds per game the Hornets average rank 154th in college basketball, and are 3.3 fewer than the 35.7 their opponents pull down per contest.
• Antonio Madlock averages 7.2 rebounds per game (ranking 139th in college basketball) to lead the Hornets.
• The Red Flash average 30.9 rebounds per game (242nd in college basketball), compared to the 31.5 of their opponents.
• Valentino Pinedo leads the Red Flash with 6.5 rebounds per game (233rd in college basketball).
• Alabama State averages 93.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (252nd in college basketball), and allows 91.6 points per 100 possessions (131st in college basketball).
• The Red Flash average 93.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (246th in college basketball), and concede 94.1 points per 100 possessions (195th in college basketball).

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