3 WNBA Prop Bets to Target for Thursday 6/6/24

Aidan Cotter
Aidan CotterAidanCotterFD

The WNBA season is rolling along, and FanDuel Sportsbook's WNBA odds offer a slew of ways to get in on the action via point spreads, totals, moneylines and player props.

In this article, we'll focus on the day's top prop bets. Let's dig in.

All WNBA odds are from FanDuel Sportsbook, and lines are subject to change after this article is published.

WNBA Prop Bets

Karlie Samuelson Over 8.5 Points (-122)

With Shakira Austin out again for the Washington Mystics, expect Karlie Samuelson to shoulder more of the scoring load.

In three previous games without Austin, Samuelson has averaged 12.7 points per game. She scored at least nine points in all three games.

But in six games with Austin active, Samuelson's scoring average dips to 8.2 points per game. She's gone for at least nine points only twice in six games.

So, with Austin sidelined, Samuelson is in a nice spot to go over 8.5 points against the Chicago Sky.

The Sky aren't a pushover on defense, but they aren't a matchup we should be too weary of. On the year, Chicago ranks seventh in defensive rating and sixth in scoring defense. They've given up 70-plus points in all eight games, allowing their opponents to reach 80 points four times.

Chicago has surrendered the third-fewest made threes and second-fewest three-point attempts, but Samuelson's affinity for the long ball is too strong to be kept under wraps. On the year, Samuelson is averaging the 14th-most made threes (1.8) and 17th-most attempted threes (5.0) per game. She's shooting 35.6% from deep and has nailed multiple triples in two of three games with Austin out.

Because of that, I'll throw in Karlie Samuelson Over 1.5 Made Threes at +108 odds.

Elizabeth Williams Over 8.5 Points (-122)

While Shakira Austin's absence could help other Mystics get in on the scoring, it certainly won't aid their interior defense. In three games without her, Washington has given up 87 points per game, 36 of which came in the paint.

That should be music to Elizabeth Williams' ears. Chicago's 6'3" center is averaging 8.0 points in the paint and 10.5 total points per game this season. But tonight her points prop is down at 8.5 on FanDuel Sportsbook. That's a line she's gone over in seven of eight games overall. The one game she didn't, Williams shot just 1-of-7 from the floor and played a season-low 22 minutes.

But she's still averaging a tick under 30 minutes per game on the year, and we saw her put up 10 points across 28 minutes the last time out.

With Austin out, the Mystics have just one other true center on their roster, Stefanie Dolson. At 6'5", Dolson has size but hasn't been an especially impactful defender this season and is prone to fouls. She's cracked 30 minutes only once.

Against a thin Mystics frontline, Williams can continue her strong scoring efforts and go over 8.5 points.

Tina Charles Over 8.5 Rebounds (+110)

Finally, fresh off a 12-rebound effort, we can look for Tina Charles to go over 8.5 rebounds at +110 odds.

Charles and the Atlanta Dream host the New York Liberty tonight. While a lopsided spread (Liberty -6.5) doesn't always bode well for the rebounding props for players on the underdog, New York isn't exactly a stalwart on the glass. The Liberty are fourth in total rebound rate (51.6%), but they've surrendered the fourth most offensive rebounds per game (9.0).

Of Charles' 9.6 rebounds per game, 2.4 have come on the offensive end. That's tied for 12th league-wide and sets her up nicely to go over 8.5 boards tonight.

It's not like Charles needs to have an otherworldly night on the glass to hit this prop, either. She's gone over this line in four of seven games this season, including against the Los Angeles Sparks, Connecticut Sun, and Dallas Wings -- the three teams ahead of New York in rebound rate.

Charles finished with a double-double and reached for 11 or more rebounds all four times she went over this prop, so I'm interested in diving into some of the alternate markets, too. Charles to record a double-double is +230 while Charles to record 10+ rebounds is +172 and Charles to record 12+ rebounds is +410.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.