3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Wednesday 2/7/24

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Using FanDuel Research's daily basketball projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Prop Bets

Scottie Barnes To Score 20+ Points (-130)

A date with the Charlotte Hornets could lead to Scottie Barnes playing bully ball tonight.

Barnes is averaging 20.2 points per game this season. The -130 odds on this prop imply a 56.5% probability, but Barnes has been scoring 20-plus points at a 60.0% rate this season.

The Hornets have been surrendering the third-most points per game to small forwards this season, and since the Toronto Raptors are favored by only 7.5 points against this lowly Charlotte team, it seems Barnes could get a full-game crack at this abysmal defense.

This season, Barnes has played in 14 games against teams (including Charlotte) that rank in the top 10 of most points allowed to small forwards. Barnes averaged 22.2 points per game in this span and scored 20.0 points at a 71.4% clip.

Barnes nets 48.2% of his points in the paint, which is great news considering the Hornets have been allowing the fourth-most paint points across their last 15 games and the seventh-most on the season. Barnes can also get going from downtown, netting 28.3% of his points from behind the arc. Charlotte is letting up the sixth-most three-point makes per game this season.

The Hornets granted Barnes a pair of big nights earlier this season. Toronto's All-Star put up 22-point and 31-point performances in these games, so I'm keen on another high-scoring outing.

Evan Mobley Over 9.5 Rebounds (+106)

Evan Mobley's rebounding prop is catching my eye for Wednesday's slate.

After returning from knee surgery, Mobley has been back in the Cleveland Cavaliers' starting lineup for four straight games. Upon his return, he was initially held to 20-24 minutes per game, but he's seen an increase in his minutes each game, even playing 28 minutes this past Monday.

Given that Mobley has been playing more and more each game, he should see the court for at least 28 minutes in tonight's contest against the Washington Wizards, barring any major setbacks or an early blowout.

And while Mobley's minutes may have been restricted, it seems his performance has not. He played 24 minutes this past Saturday and put up 28 points and grabbed 10 rebounds. And on Monday, Mobley seized another double-double, scoring 11 points and recording 14 boards.

The +106 odds for this prop suggest a 48.5% probability, but Mobley has exceeded 9.5 rebounds in 64.0% of his games this season, including games where he was held to lower-than-normal minutes.

His competition for the night, the Washington Wizards, have been surrendering more rebounds per game than any other team in the league -- whether it's overall, offensive rebounds, or defensive rebounds.

It's a match made in heaven for the guy who leads the Cavs in adjusted rebound chance percentage. Mobley is also seeing 16.9 rebound chances per game. Although he is forced to share the court with a fellow monster on the boards in Jarrett Allen, these two have had no problem sharing the rebounding wealth.

This past Saturday, Mobley recorded five rebounds and Allen grabbed seven boards in the first quarter alone. Mobley is primed to bully this Washington team, so I'm happy to get the over here at plus-odds. I'd even give Evan Mobley To Record A Double-Double at +150 a look.

Onyeka Okongwu Over 10.5 Points (-111)

I'm not sure why Onyeka Okongwu's points prop is set this low, but I see no reason why we shouldn't take advantage.

Clint Capela (left adductor strain) is out for the Atlanta Hawks, which has moved Okongwu into the starting lineup and allowed him to take on more scoring duties than normal.

Okongwu has started four games, sporadically, for Atlanta this season. In that span, he scored at least 14.0 points in each game, accumulating 16.8 points per contest.

He's played in three games without Capela this season and scored at least 16.0 points in each contest, averaging 17.7 points per game in that span.

Further, Okongwu has exceeded 10.5 points in four straight games for the Hawks, even though Capela started in three of those games.

He is netting 14.6 points per 36 minutes when Capela is off the court and has been playing a juicy 34.0 minutes each Capela-less game.

This past Monday, we targeted Okongwu Over 12.5 Points, mainly due to Capela's absence. Okongwu went for 18 points in this game despite a tough matchup against the Los Angeles Clippers.

He and the Hawks have an intimidating road game against the Boston Celtics on tap for tonight, but I don't think Boston's defense is limiting enough -- at least in comparison to LAC's D -- to justify the market dropping Okongwu's points line.

Add in that the Celtics have been surrendering the 12th-most points to centers over their last 30 games and the fifth-most points to centers over their last 15 games, and I have no problem siding with a heat check from Okongwu.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.