NCAAB

2024 NCAA Women's Basketball Tournament: Second Round Betting Picks (Sunday)

Brandon Gdula
Brandon Gdula@gdula13
2024 NCAA Women's Basketball Tournament: Second Round Betting Picks (Sunday)

The 2024 NCAA women's tournament continues on into the weekend with the second round.

Here are some of the best bets to consider -- based on the NCAA women's basketball betting odds at FanDuel Sportsbook -- for Sunday's second-round matchups.

Duke vs. Ohio State Betting Odds

Under 132.5 (-114)

In their tournament opener, Duke withstood a three-point barrage from Richmond early on and won the second half 44-24 in order to clinch a 72-61 win.

Ohio State beat Maine 80-57 and held a 43-24 halftime lead in the matchup.

Overall this season, Duke games have averaged only 126.5 points per game, yet since the start of February, that number is 120.3 across 12 contests.

Ohio State's matchups are netting 143.4 per contest -- and 141.0 over their 11 since February 1st.

So what gives?

Well, Duke wants to slow things down. They're 218th in the nation in pace. That could be crucial for the total.

Against nine opponents 150th or slower in pace, Ohio State games are averaging 130.4 points, and in five matchups against teams outside the top 200 in pace, that point average is 129.2.

My model is anticipating 128.9 points in this game, on average, and the matchup is right to keep Ohio State from scoring at will.

Nebraska vs. Oregon State Betting Odds

Nebraska +8.5 (-128)

With -128 odds on Nebraska +8.5, the number could move soon enough, so keep an eye on that.

Simply put, the Cornhuskers are a pretty good team overall. They rank 25th in Sports-Reference's adjusted net rating (+31.8). Oregon State is 16th (+38.6).

TheAnalysts's TRACR Ratings consider the Beavers the 18th-best team in the nation and pit Nebraska 26th.

In their opener, Nebraska wound up beating Texas A&M (28th, via TRACR) 61-59 but were up 48-38 through three quarters. They beat Iowa 82-79 at home earlier this year and went to overtime against them in another matchup.

Oregon State erased an 18-15 deficit against the Eastern Washington Eagles in their opener to go on to win 73-51.

A trio of double-digit scorers leads Nebraska -- Alexis Markowski (15.9), Jaz Shelley (13.5), and Natalie Potts (10.4) -- to a top-30 adjusted offense, and the data says these two teams are pretty similar overall.

Iowa State vs. Stanford Betting Odds

Iowa State +13.5 (-114)

While the chalk has been strong early in the NCAA Tournament, we don't need Iowa State to beat Stanford. Just to keep it close.

And they should be able to do that.

The Cyclones have a top-25 adjusted offense (not as good as Stanford's, which is top 10), and their defense is inside the top-50, as well. (Again, Stanford's is better -- inside the top 15.)

Iowa State knocked off the 10 seed in their region, Maryland, by a score of 93-86. They dominated on the glass (36-25), as well.

Iowa State is a top-12 rebounding team in the nation (Stanford, again, is better [2nd]), but the Cyclones play the right type of game to be able to keep this game close and defend the three-point arc well.

They've actually won four of nine matchups against top-20 teams by adjusted net rating and have kept it within 13 in seven of the nine in total.

The two where they didn't came against Texas, who rates out third in that metric. Stanford is fourth.

Their performance against truly top-tier opponents can give us some pause, but there are more than enough reasons to like the Cyclones to keep this game competitive.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.