NCAAB

2024 NCAA Women's Basketball Tournament: Second Round Betting Picks and Props (Monday)

Brandon Gdula
Brandon Gdula@gdula13
2024 NCAA Women's Basketball Tournament: Second Round Betting Picks and Props (Monday)

The 2024 NCAA women's tournament continues on into the new week with the second round.

Here are some of the best bets to consider -- based on the NCAA women's basketball betting odds at FanDuel Sportsbook -- for Monday's second-round matchups.

West Virginia vs. Iowa Best Bet

Caitlin Clark Over 7.5 Rebounds (-130)

In their opener, the Iowa Hawkeyes took just a two-point lead into the second quarter (23-21) against Holy Cross but blew them out over the final 30 minutes by a score of 68-44 to win 91-65.

Caitlin Clark went for 27 points, 10 assists, and 8 rebounds to fall short of a triple-double -- in just 31 minutes.

Now, Iowa sets up against a West Virginia team ranked 17th in TheAnalyst's TRACR rating and 19th in Sports-Reference's adjusted net rating.

Iowa has faced 15 top-35 opponents by adjusted net rating. In those games, they're 11-4 -- with three of the losses coming on the road.

West Virginia, meanwhile, is winless in five tries against top-20 teams by adjusted net rating with losses by an average of 8.2 points. Notably, Texas (3rd in adjusted net rating) beat them by 21 in a home game for West Virginia.

The Mountaineers are good at defending the three-point arc (37th in attempts per game allowed) and can force turnovers.

This could complicate Clark's lofty points and assists props, but her rebounding prop is appealing, as WVU is 265th in total rebounding rate (48.3%).

In seven games against teams 120th or worse in rebounding rate, Clark has averaged 8.0 boards per game. West Virginia was also out-rebounded 34-28 by a Princeton team ranked 21st in rebounding rate in their opener (Iowa is 24th in rebounding rate).

Clark is averaging 8.0 boards per game over her last 10 and 8.9 over her last seven.

Creighton vs. UCLA Best Bet

UCLA -8.5 (-115)

Creighton went 15 of 34 (44.1%) from the three-point line during their first-round win over UNLV.

On the season, Creighton has averaged 9.0 three-point makes on 25.3 attempts (35.6%). The 9.0 makes are 13th-most in the nation, and the three-point percentage is 30th.

So, that's their strength, but regression is likely after such a hot shooting night.

UCLA ranks around the nation average (184th) in three-point attempt rate, so they'll need to prioritize limiting the deep ball.

And if Creighton's shooting comes back to earth a bit, UCLA will be there to clean the glass.

Only one team has gathered more than 58.2% of available rebounds in their games: UCLA at 59.6%.

Creighton is a respectable 136th in rebounding rate, but that's no real matchup for UCLA, who secured a 50-30 rebounding differential on California Baptist (188th in rebounding rate) in the opening round.

Utah vs. Gonzaga Best Bet

Over 144.5 (-110)

Utah blitzed South Dakota State in their opener before letting their lead dwindle a bit -- but then closed out the game well and won 68-54 to advance to the Round of 32.

Gonzaga trailed 13 seed UC Irvine 17-10 at the end of the first quarter but then rallied back to win the final three quarters 65-39.

On paper, these two teams match up well. Both are top-10 in both effective field goal percentage and true shooting percentage and top-25 in total rebounding rate and assist rate.

Both teams shoot the three incredibly well: Gonzaga (39.8%, 3rd-best) and Utah (36.4%, 17th-best).

Gonzaga's sharp-shooting tendencies are helping them score 81.0 points per game, and Utah is at 77.7 per game themselves.

Alissa Pili has taken over as the focal point of the Utah offense and has scored 20-plus points in five of Utah's last seven games.

Neither defend the arc particularly, especially Gonzaga (229th in three-point attempt rate allowed). Utah is 8th in three-point attempt rate offensively.

As a team, Utah is shooting 26.4% from deep over four games in March -- down 10 full percentage points from the full season.

Volume should be there because of the matchup, and regression should come after too many uncharacteristic misses.

Even Gonzaga is shooting worse lately than expected (34.8% from three compared to 39.8% on the full season).

With an expectation of shots starting to fall, Utah should be able to keep it close in a high-scoring game.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.