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NFL FanDuel Fantasy Football Picks for AFC Championship Bills vs Chiefs

Max Staley
Stefon Diggs fantasy outlook makes him an elite play in the AFC Championship Game.
Stefon Diggs fantasy outlook makes him an elite play in the AFC Championship Game. / Bryan Bennett/Getty Images

The NFL Playoffs continue rolling on, bringing fans one of the most exciting matchups of the year as the Buffalo Bills take on the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game. If you're still looking to get your fantasy football fix, there are plenty of formats available to keep playing fantasy football throughout the NFL Playoffs.

With that in mind, here are three DFS plays to target and two to avoid for Sunday's Bills-Chiefs AFC Championship Game.

FanDuel AFC Championship Picks This Week

Stefon Diggs Fantasy

Target Stefon Diggs ($8,300), WR, Buffalo Bills: Stefon Diggs is the second-most expensive receiver on this week's slate, but he's worth it. He closed out the regular season by scoring at least 20.0 PPR points in five of his final eight games, averaging 23.4 per game in that time. He hasn't missed a beat in the playoffs, leading all wide receivers with 49.4 PPR points through two games. No one else has even reached 36.0 yet. There's no reason to believe he'll slow down now.

Travis Kelce Fantasy

Target Travis Kelce ($8,600), TE, Kansas City Chiefs: The difference between Travis Kelce and the rest of the tight ends going this weekend is simply absurd. He finished as fantasy's TE1 in PPR formats in 2020, scoring 312.76 points. Believe it or not, Logan Thomas was the TE3 and he finished with 176.62 points on the year. Kelce has also recorded at least 22.8 PPR points in seven of his last eight regular-season games, averaging a ridiculous 24.3 per game in that time. Yes, he's expensive, but he's absolutely worth every penny.

John Brown Fantasy

Target John Brown ($5,600), WR, Buffalo Bills: John Brown is one of the most boom-or-bust receivers in the league. But at his price range, you're going to need to take some risks, and he's as good a gamble as anyone. Over his last five healthy games, Brown has recorded at least 62 receiving yards four times. He's also averaging 7.6 targets per game in that time and is coming off an 11-target outing last week. He should be heavily involved on Sunday.

Patrick Mahomes Fantasy

Avoid Patrick Mahomes ($9,000), QB, Kansas City Chiefs: Fading Patrick Mahomes is obviously a scary proposition, but the gap between him and the rest of the field isn't as wide as his price tag suggests it is. All four remaining passers were top-eight fantasy producers in the regular season and have decent-to-plus matchups this week. For example, Josh Allen comes in at $500 cheaper than Mahomes, and it wouldn't be remotely surprising if Allen matched or outproduced him on Sunday. Allen was fantasy's highest-scoring player in the regular season, and the Bills' defense is significantly better than the Chiefs', sitting No. 8 by weighted DVOA compared to No. 24 for KC. Plus, Mahomes is dealing with two injuries this week, which doesn't exactly help matters. You're better off saving money at QB and spending big elsewhere this week.

Dawson Knox Fantasy

Avoid Dawson Knox ($4,700), TE, Buffalo Bills: Dawson Knox is a natural target for anyone looking to save a little money at tight end, but he's just not worth it. Knox's season-high in receiving yards is just 51, and he was held under 40 receiving yards in every other game this season. If you're doing a single-game slate, just eat the cost and pay up for Kelce. If you're doing a full slate, Cameron Brate ($5,000) is a considerably better value, averaging 65.0 receiving yards per game over his last two while only being $300 more than Knox this week.

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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.