The Duel

Devin Singletary Fantasy Outlook Could Make Him a Draft-Day Steal in 2020

Jason Schandl
Devin Singletary's fantasy outlook could make the Buffalo Bills RB a steal in 2020 fantasy football drafts.
Devin Singletary's fantasy outlook could make the Buffalo Bills RB a steal in 2020 fantasy football drafts. / Justin K. Aller/Getty Images

Devin Singletary finished 32nd at the running back position in PPR fantasy points in his 2019 rookie season, and all signs are pointing to a significantly bigger year in 2020.

His draft cost reflects this to an extent, as he's going as RB23 according to FantasyPros' average draft position (ADP) data. That still doesn't do him justice, however, as he has legitimate potential to finish as a top-12 back this year.

To start with, Singletary missed four games due to injury. On a per-game basis he ranked 27th among backs that played at least two games in 2019. Even that doesn't really capture what he did, though, as he left early with injury in Week 2 and was limited in his Week 7 return — playing fewer than 40 percent of the team's offensive snaps in each of those two games.

He played at least 66 percent in his other 10 contests, and in that sample his average jumped to 13.4 fantasy points per game, which would have ranked 23rd at the position. So he's essentially being drafted to reflect exactly what he accomplished in 2019.

There's also plenty of reason to believe he'll outperform his rookie numbers. Beyond just having another year of experience under his belt, he was already posting improved numbers down the stretch last season. He played over 70 percent of the Bills' offensive snaps in each of his final six games (after failing to do so in any of his first six), and in that stretch he averaged 20.4 opportunities (17.2 carries plus 3.2 targets) per game.

Only 10 backs averaged more than 20.4 per game in 2019.

Finally, his touchdown output is likely to climb this year. His fantasy numbers were held back by only scoring 4 touchdowns as a rookie. TDs tend to be a high-variance stat, however, so that's really not much of a concern as we move forward. He led the Bills with 14 red zone opportunities over the final six weeks of the season, and with volume like that, the touchdowns should come.

With Frank Gore gone and only third-round pick Zack Moss there to replace him, Singletary should still be in for workhorse volume in 2020. That means he's basically being drafted at his floor.

Any improvement in volume, efficiency or touchdown scoring would be the icing on the cake that gives him some big, low-risk upside this season. As of writing, Singletary checks in at RB16 in The Duel's 2020 fantasy football rankings.

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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.