Wright State vs Detroit Mercy College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Horizon League Tournament Championship

The No. 1 seed Wright State Raiders (22-11, 15-5 Horizon League) take on the No. 3 Detroit Mercy Titans (17-14, 12-8 Horizon League) in the championship game of the Horizon League tournament on Tuesday at 7 p.m. ET. The winner earns an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Wright State vs. Detroit Mercy Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
• Arena: Corteva Coliseum

Wright State vs. Detroit Mercy Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Wright State win (75.2%)

Before you wager on Tuesday's Wright State-Detroit Mercy spread (Wright State -4.5) or over/under (152.5 points), see the betting trends and insights below.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Wright State vs. Detroit Mercy: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Wright State has compiled a 20-11-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Detroit Mercy has covered 20 times in 29 games with a spread this year.
• As a 4.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Detroit Mercy is 11-6 against the spread compared to the 7-8 ATS record Wright State puts up as a 4.5-point favorite.
• The Raiders have done a better job covering the spread in road games (10-4-0) than they have at home (7-7-0).
• This season, the Titans are 8-4-0 at home against the spread (.667 winning percentage). Away, they are 11-5-0 ATS (.688).
• Wright State has 15 wins against the spread in 22 conference games this year.
• Detroit Mercy has 16 wins against the spread in 22 Horizon League games this season.

Wright State vs. Detroit Mercy: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Wright State has come away with 17 wins in the 22 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Raiders have a mark of 11-4 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -194 or better on the moneyline.
• Detroit Mercy has been the underdog on the moneyline 22 total times this season. Detroit Mercy has gone 10-12 in those games.
• When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +160 or longer, the Titans have a 5-9 record (winning only 35.7% of their games).
• Wright State has an implied victory probability of 66% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Wright State vs. Detroit Mercy Head-to-Head Comparison

• Wright State scored 77.3 points per game and allowed 76.4 last season, ranking them 82nd in the country offensively and 301st defensively.
• At 31.1 rebounds per game and 30.2 rebounds allowed, Wright State was 229th and 114th in college basketball, respectively, last season.
• Last season Wright State was ranked 69th in the nation in assists with 15.2 per game.
• Last season, Wright State was 241st in the country in turnovers committed (11.7 per game) and 322nd in turnovers forced (9.7).
• With 67.1 points per game on offense, Detroit Mercy was 331st in the nation last year. Defensively, it ceded 75.9 points per contest, which ranked 292nd in college basketball.
• Detroit Mercy averaged 33.7 boards per game (72nd-ranked in college basketball) last year, while allowing 32 rebounds per contest (233rd-ranked).
• Detroit Mercy delivered only 10.8 dimes per contest, which ranked 13th-worst in college basketball.
• Last year Detroit Mercy committed 12.5 turnovers per game (306th-ranked in college basketball) and forced 10 turnovers per contest (305th-ranked).

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!