WNBA Best Bets and Player Props for Tuesday 7/9/24

Aidan Cotter
Aidan CotterAidanCotterFD
WNBA Best Bets and Player Props for Tuesday 7/9/24

The WNBA season is rolling along, and fans and bettors alike can get into the action on FanDuel Sportsbook.

The W's 40-game season offers a wide variety of betting options, including point spreads, moneylines, and totals. While there's a lot to sift through, advanced stats from the WNBA can help us find an edge in the betting market.

Let's dive into the WNBA odds on FanDuel Sportsbook and find today's best bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

WNBA Best Bets

Minnesota Lynx at Los Angeles Sparks

Lynx -4.5 (-112)

The Lynx are unlikely to have star Napheesa Collier for tonight's road date with the Sparks. That didn't stop them from beating the Mystics by seven last time out, and it shouldn't hinder them from covering tonight's 4.5-point spread versus LA.

Minnesota is undoubtedly a better team with "Phee" around, but they still own a +4.7 net rating with her off the floor, according to PBP Stats.

Though she leads them in points per game, Collier's hardly the only capable scorer on the Lynx. Kalya McBride (15.8), Alanna Smith (11.8), and Courtney Williams (10.3) all average double-digit points, while Bridget Carleton stepped up with 13 in Collier's absence over the weekend.

That group shouldn't have much trouble scoring on an LA side that has the third-worst defensive rating in the W. Minnesota put up 86 and 81 in two previous matchups with the Sparks, putting them in a nice spot to exceed their 80.8 implied team total tonight.

Defensively, the Lynx have surrendered 97.4 points per 100 possessions with Collier sidelined -- up from the 92.3 they've allowed with her on the floor. But that 97.4 number would still rank fourth league-wide, and the Sparks don't exactly have a fearsome offense.

LA is averaging only 79.0 points per game this season, and they're in the bottom half of the league in effective field goal percentage (48.2%) and turnover rate (19.7%). They mustered up just 62 and 76 points in two prior matchups with Minnesota.

That doesn't bode well for their chances of covering -- not when the Lynx force the fourth-most turnovers per game (16.2).

It doesn't hurt that the Sparks are just 2-5-1 against the spread at home this season, according to numberFire's database. The Lynx, meanwhile, are 6-3 against the spread on the road.

Altogether, we're getting a discount on Minnesota here. They may not be as dominant with Napheesa Collier out, but the Lynx have more than enough firepower to cover against the lowly Sparks.

Courtney Williams Over 6.5 Assists (-106)

While Collier's absence hurts the Lynx offense as a whole, it should funnel more usage Courtney Williams' way and push her over 6.5 assists.

Minnesota's point guard is averaging 5.4 assists per game on the year, but she dished out seven with Phee sidelined over the weekend. That coincided with her third-highest usage rate game (28.2%) of the season.

That's been an ongoing trend for Williams. She's averaging 13.38 assists per 100 possessions with Collier off the court, compared to just 9.85 with her on.

An uptick in usage should be coming for Williams, and we know the matchup is there for a big assist night. In addition to their porous defensive rating, LA has surrendered the second-most raw assists per game (21.5).

On top of that, Williams previously recorded 10 assists in her most recent matchup versus the Sparks. With an enhanced role on deck tonight, we can look for her to go over 6.5 assists against Los Angeles.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.