Wimbledon Quarterfinals Betting Picks: Wednesday 7/10/24

Kenyatta Storin
Kenyatta Storin@KenyattaStorin
Wimbledon Quarterfinals Betting Picks: Wednesday 7/10/24

Perhaps the most revered of the four Grand Slams, Wimbledon is underway and into the second week.

We should see plenty of fun matches and storylines emerge over the fortnight, and what better way to get in on the action than by making some wagers on the Wimbledon Betting Odds at FanDuel Sportsbook?

Let's see where we can find betting value on Wednesday.

Wimbledon Best Bet

Jelena Ostapenko vs. Barbora Krejcikova

Ostapenko 2-0 Sets (+120)

Jelena Ostapenko hasn't dropped a set through her four Wimbledon matches, and none of them have been particularly close, either, as she's won each one by seven games or more. Her four opponents have combined for just four break points won, and she's won the third-most first-serve points (76%) among the women left in the draw.

While 35th-ranked Yulia Putintseva is the only player Ostapenko has faced ranked inside the top 50, Putintseva knocked off world No. 1 Iga Swiatek in the third round, a sign of how well she was playing.

Barbora Krejcikova is coming off an encouraging straight-sets win (7-5, 6-3) over Danielle Collins, but it hasn't been an easy path to these quarterfinals after going to a tie-break in four of her first five sets in the first two rounds. Additionally, she came into the tournament with just a 7-9 record in 2024, failing to capitalize on a quarterfinals appearance at the Australian Open to begin the year.

Ostapenko also has history on her side against Krejcikova, leading their overall head-to-head 5-2, and she comes in on a three-match win streak over her.

Tennis Abstract projects Ostapenko to win this match 70% of the time. Between the Latvian's recent play and her strong history against her opponent, we should like the chances of her notching another straight-sets win on her way to the semifinals.

Alex de Minaur vs. Novak Djokovic

Djokovic -4.5 Games (-118)

Novak Djokovic came into Wimbledon with plenty of questions after a knee injury forced him to withdraw midway through the French Open (and ultimately required surgery), and it's not like he was having a stellar campaign by his standards to begin with, as he's still sitting on zero titles in 2024.

Of course, we should know better than to doubt the 24-time Grand Slam champion, and after he cruised to a 6-3, 6-4, 6-2 win over 15th-ranked Holger Rune in the fourth round, it sure looks like the old Djokovic is back. Novak wasn't broken even once by Rune, who went 0-2 on break-point chances.

That's bad news for Alex de Minaur, who's having a great season but suffered an injury in his last match. If he's at less than 100% against an in-form Djokovic, it could be lights out in a hurry. The Australian also hasn't really been tested at this event, benefiting from a walkover in the third round and then defeating 34th-ranked Arthur Fils, a player who came into Wimbledon with just a .500 record in 2024.

Both Tennis Abstract and Massey Ratings are giving Djokovic a 77% win probability. Djokovic leads their head-to-head 2-1, winning their most recent match in April by straight sets. While backing Djokovic to cover the spread is the safer play, the +190 odds for Djokovic to win 3-0 sets is enticing, as well.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.