Tennis

Wimbledon Men's Championship Odds: Sinner, Alcaraz Lead the Way as Favorites

Kenyatta Storin
Kenyatta Storin@KenyattaStorin
Wimbledon Men's Championship Odds: Sinner, Alcaraz Lead the Way as Favorites

With the French Open barely in the rearview mirror, the tennis calendar makes its annual quick visit to grass courts, culminating in arguably the most famous and prestigious of the four Grand Slams: Wimbledon.

The Wimbledon main draw will begin play on Monday, July 1st, and Wimbledon Betting Odds are already up on FanDuel Sportsbook.

How do the odds shake out for this year's field? Let's take a look at how the top contenders stack up on the men's side.

Wimbledon Men's Singles Championship Odds

Player
Odds
Jannik Sinner+175
Carlos Alcaraz+210
Novak Djokovic+420
Hubert Hurkacz+2000
Alexander Zverev+2100
Daniil Medvedev+2400
Jack Draper+2500
View Full Table

Jannik Sinner (+175)

Fresh off becoming the world No. 1 for the first time in his career earlier this month, Jannik Sinner wasted no time adding another title to his ledger after lifting the trophy at Halle this past weekend. Sinner's now won four tournaments in 2024 -- including this year's Australian Open -- and Halle also marks his first career grass-court title.

Although it wasn't exactly smooth sailing for Sinner in Halle -- he had to endure seven tie-breaks across his five matches -- entering the All England Club with a grass title under his belt should further boost his confidence in his quest for a second Grand Slam trophy.

Overall, Sinner boasts a ridiculous 38-3 record this calendar year, and particularly with Novak Djokovic coming into Wimbledon with questionable health, the Italian is a deserving favorite.

Sinner has made deep runs in back-to-back years at Wimbledon, too, reaching the quarterfinals in 2022 and then going one step further to the semifinals in 2023.

Carlos Alcaraz (+210)

The defending Wimbledon champion, Carlos Alcaraz is barely behind Sinner in the championship odds and might as well be considered a co-favorite. The winner of this year's French Open, Alcaraz now has three career major titles -- the other being the 2022 US Open -- and he turned just 21 years old in May.

Perhaps the one uncertainty for Alcaraz is the fact that he was bounced in the second round of his grass tune-up event, a surprise loss to Jack Draper at Queen's Club. That leaves him with just two grass matches in the lead-up to Wimbledon, leaving him with far fewer reps than he would like before his title defense.

Still, Alcaraz owns an impressive 17-3 career grass record, which includes going 12-0 on grass in 2023. Additionally, his latest defeat could have been due in part to a new ATP clock rule being tested that threw Alcaraz off his game.

Alcaraz holds a slight 5-4 head-to-head edge over Sinner, and they most recently went five sets over four hours and nine minutes in this year's French Open semifinals. Despite being the victor, Alcaraz actually scored fewer total points (145-147), showing how razor-thin the margins were. The tennis world certainly won't be upset if this growing rivalry adds another chapter over the upcoming fortnight.

Novak Djokovic (+420)

Seeing Djokovic at these odds would normally be shocking, but after he was forced to withdraw from the French Open with a knee injury that required surgery, it isn't even clear yet whether he will even play at Wimbledon, let alone have any shot at winning it.

While the seven-time Wimbledon champion has been practicing on the grounds and is encouraged by his progress, he admitted on Monday that he will only compete if he thinks he can "fight for the title."

Particularly with the Olympics looming not long after Wimbledon's conclusion, it's fair to take Djokovic at his word. One of the few things Novak hasn't achieved in his illustrious career is an Olympic gold medal, and his lone medal (bronze) came way back at the 2008 Olympics.

Even if Djokovic deems himself healthy enough to play, it's been a shaky season by his standards. He sits at 18-6 with no titles, and he's endured a trio of shocking upsets over the past few months, losing to Luca Nardi at Indian Wells, Alejandro Tabilo at the Italian Open, and Tomas Machac in Geneva.

Although Djokovic has proven time and time again that he can never be counted out, between the injury and his recent form, this could be the rare occasion to fade the Serbian despite the tempting odds.

Hubert Hurkacz (+2000)

We see a steep drop-off in odds following the top three, and it might be a bit surprising to see Hubert Hurkacz as the man listed fourth.

But Hurkacz is in the midst of one of his best seasons yet and is coming off a successful run to the finals at Halle. While he ultimately fell to Sinner in the title match, losing to the world No. 1 by a score of 7-6(8), 7-6(2) is nothing to scoff at. Hurkacz also defeated French Open finalist Alexander Zverev in the semifinals, further suggesting he's entering Wimbledon in good form.

The 27-year-old moved up to a career-high No. 7 in the rankings this week and has performed well in majors this year, making the quarterfinals at the Australian Open and the round of 16 at the French Open. While he hasn't shown consistency in Grand Slams over his career, his best result came in 2021 when he was a semifinalist at Wimbledon.

As the odds suggest, Hurkacz remains a longshot -- particularly if Djokovic proves his health -- but he has as good a case as any outside the favorites. When adjusted for surface, he has the sixth-best Elo rating in the field, according to Tennis Abstract.

Other Notables

Alexander Zverv (+2100) - The world No. 4 has reached at least the quarterfinals in three straight Grand Slams, most recently finishing runner-up at the French Open. However, he's never made it past the round of 16 at Wimbledon and was knocked out in the third round last season. Out of his 22 singles titles, none have come on grass.

Daniil Medvedev (+2400) - Despite making deep runs at several tournaments in 2024, Medvedev is still waiting to win his first title of the season. Still, he was a finalist at this year's Australian Open and Indian Wells. While he prefers hard courts by a wide margin, the Russian was a semifinalist at Wimbledon in 2023.

Jack Draper (+2500) - The top-ranked British player might seem a bit high at these odds, but he picked up his first career title in Stuttgart and pulled off the big upset over Alcaraz at Queen's Club. Despite inconsistent play this season, the talented 22-year-old is up to a career-best 29th ranking and could be poised for a breakthrough with the home crowd behind him.

Alex de Minaur (+3100) - Making his way into the top 10 for the first time this year, the Australian lifted the trophy at 's-Hertogenbosch earlier this month but then dropped his opening match at Queen's Club. He made the quarterfinals at this season's French Open but hasn't had the best results at Wimbledon. In 2023, he failed to get past the second round at this event.

Tommy Paul (+3300) - Paul comes into Wimbledon as the top-ranked American (12th overall) after winning the Queen's Club title. He's competed in the Wimbledon main draw just twice, advancing to the round of 16 in 2022 and the third round in 2023.


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